Ministers of the (Supreme Federal Court) privately stated this Wednesday (6) that the will have no effect on the Judiciary in relation to convictions of ineligibility imposed on () nor on investigations already advanced, such as the one dealing with .
Despite this, judges say they believe that political pressure may grow for the former president to have his ineligibility reversed via a pardon given by the .
Even before Trump’s victory, Bolsonaro supporters and Bolsonaro himself had already been working together to include pardon in the project being processed in the Chamber and which, for now, only deals with amnesty for those who participated in the attacks in Praça dos Três Poderes.
After the result announced this Wednesday, the former president’s interlocutors said that it would arise from the success of the Republican candidate.
The assessment that Bolsonaro’s legal situation could change in the face of Trump’s victory is shared by members of the former president’s defense — especially with a possible amnesty for those involved in the attacks on the headquarters of Power.
Last week, .
“It was a political trial [a inelegibilidade] and we are looking for ways to undo that. Our priority is the people who are in prison, I am second fiddle”, said the former president after a meeting in which his party, the PL, confirmed its support for the candidacy of (União Brasil-AP) for the presidency of the Senate.
According to ministers of the Supreme Court and higher courts, if approved in Congress, the amnesty could lead to a new institutional clash, since the Judiciary leadership is against pardoning the invaders who destroyed the headquarters of the three Powers.
A Sheet spoke to six ministers and assistants of the Supreme Court this Wednesday. The majority assessment is that the new Trump administration will have other concerns, such as the advance of China, immigration policy and the wars in Ukraine and the Middle East.
Believing that the Republican’s election could impact Bolsonaro’s criminal or electoral situation, these ministers assess, is a misjudgment regarding Trump’s priorities and Brazil’s ability to resolve its internal dilemmas.
It cannot be ruled out, however, that possible support from the White House for Elon Musk’s attacks against minister Alexandre de Moraes could cause unrest. The billionaire, owner of the social network
The current expectation in the Supreme Court is that the Federal Police will present the investigation report into the coup plot involving Bolsonaro and allies by the end of the year to reverse the result of the 2022 election. stay for the first half of 2025.
Supreme Court ministers privately state that they prefer to close the cases before the 2026 elections, so that there are no pending issues before the election. The trials could also ease the political world’s apprehension about Bolsonaro’s fate, shortening the court’s role in the investigations.
He was already convicted last year of abuse of political and economic power and misuse of the media on charges of spreading and electorally using .
Bolsonaro is ineligible from 2023. As a result, for now he will not be able to appear in the elections until at least 2030. If convicted of the crimes of the coup plot, he could take it and stay.
Furthermore, the former president is at the center of other investigations, including the one investigating the negotiations surrounding a coup d’état that aimed to prevent Lula (PT) from taking office in 2023.
A possible amnesty for Bolsonaro and the coup plotters who vandalized the offices of Power can be analyzed if the court is provoked to speak out. The bill that pardons the invaders will still be before the Chamber of Deputies.
The president of the Chamber, (PP-AL), promises about the 8/1 still in his administration. This means that the deputy wants a solution to the imbroglio later this year, as he is no longer expected to command the House after the parliamentary recess between December and January.
Even with the political impact generated by Trump’s election as President of the USA, the STF ministers made jokes this Wednesday before the plenary session, like .
The game was to guess which of the ministers would be the first to have their entry visa denied by Trump. In September, a group of US deputies and senators sent a letter to the US Secretary of State, Antony Blinken, requesting a letter from all STF judges.
They called Minister Alexandre de Moraes a “totalitarian dictator” and argued that the other members of the Supreme Court were “accomplices in these undemocratic practices”.
