The 2024 Brazilian Championship is in the final stretch and, as a result, the teams are projecting numbers to complete their objectives. Whether fighting for the title, qualifying for the Libertadores or banishing the specter of relegation once and for all, this is the moment when the calculator becomes an ally.
Now, there are no more delayed games in the Brasileirão. This Saturday (16/11), Athletico-PR beat Atlético-MG 1-0, in a delayed duel from the 19th round of the Brazilian Championship. The game was played at the Ligga Arena, in Curitiba (PR). Thomas Cuello scored the winning goal for Furacão.
The mathematics and statistics department at UFMG (Federal University of Minas Gerais) did the calculations for each team in the Brasileirão. See below!
Which teams have the best chance of winning the Brazilian Championship?
Department of Mathematics at UFMG
- Botafogo: 70.6%
- Palm trees: 22.8%
- Fortaleza: 6%
- Internacional, Flamengo and São Paulo: less than 1%
MORE: Brasileirão 2024 artillery: who is the scorer?
Which teams have the best chance of winning the Libertadores in the Brazilian Championship?
Department of Mathematics at UFMG
- Botafogo: 100%
- Palm trees: 100%
- Fortaleza: 100%
- International: 100%
- Flamengo: 100%
- São Paulo: 99.97%
- Bahia: 41,7%
- Cruzeiro: 33.7%
- Atlético-MG: 8.9%
- Vasco: 7,7%
- Corinthians: 6,3%
- Grêmio: 1.4%
- Vitória, Fluminense, Athletico, Juventude, Criciúma and Bragantino: less than 1% chance
MORE: where to watch the games of the day on TV
Which teams are most likely to be relegated in the Brazilian Championship?
Department of Mathematics at UFMG
- Atlético-GO: 99.98%
- Cuiabá: 98.5%
- Red Bull Bragantino: 45,8%
- Youth: 39.5%
- Criciúma: 36.4%
- Athletico-PR: 26,4%
- Fluminense: 23.3%
- Victory: 21.5%
- Grêmio: 7.0%
- Atlético-MG: 1.1%
- Corinthians and Vasco: less than 1%
Note updated on November 16th, at 9pm
