It took almost a decade to change my mind about . Since the Republican’s first campaign, the dictator addressed his colleague with pleasantries such as “mentally ill” and “racist cowboy”. Now, the Venezuelan government speaks of “dialogue, respect and wisdom”, with a “new beginning”.
Trump’s return led Maduro to rehearse a diplomatic somersault based on a calculation of risk and reward, ranging from fear of an explosive president to the chance to take advantage of this unpredictability.
The first signs of the future government suggest that Maduro operates closer to fear. The man chosen to lead American diplomacy, Marco Rubio, has already said that the Venezuelan regime represents a threat that could require a military solution. He also stated that the country’s situation has a direct impact on immigration to the USA.
Maduro seems to be looking for an acrobatics to challenge this logic. Trump, after all, has already shown sweet sympathy for dictators around the world. If he was able to and Vladimir Putin, he could also sit down for a chat with Maduro.
Furthermore, the future American president is surrounded by billionaires with a lot of economic appetite and very little political modesty. It is particularly attractive terrain for the industry, which has donated $75 million to committees linked to the Trump campaign and relies on heavy lobbying to circumvent US sanctions on the Chavista regime.
The situation is more complicated beyond the Venezuelan border. of oil exploration in , a region that Maduro declared annexed. The dictator’s threats to invade may sound less convincing under the watch of Trump, who has already dreamed of military action in Venezuela.
The former national security advisor reported that, in his first term, the Republican said it would be “legal” to invade Venezuela and that the country was “part of the USA”. The aide described the president as “erratic” and “surprisingly uninformed.” Nobody will say that he has improved since then.
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