Does Bolsonaro’s indictment impact the 2026 elections? Watch “The Great Debate”

by Andrea
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The commentators of CNN José Eduardo Cardozo and Caio Coppolla discussed, this Friday (22), in The Great Debate (Monday to Friday, at 11pm), could impact the 2026 elections.

Bolsonaro and 36 other people are being investigated for an attempted coup d’état in the country following the results of the 2022 presidential elections, in which he was defeated.

The investigation covers involvement in the acts of January 8, coup plots during the 2022 presidential elections, vice-president Geraldo Alckmin (PSB) and minister Alexandre de Moraes, of the Federal Supreme Court (STF).

Previously, Bolsonaro had already been indicted in two other cases: Covid-19.

In addition to the indictments, the .

For Cardozo, the case will have an impact on the next elections, even if it is too early to think about 2026.

“Firstly, it brings isolation from the extreme right and the right. The right, necessarily, is not a coup leader, it does not defend the murder of those who are elected. Now, the extremist defends it”, says Cardozo. “Extremism kills, invents. He goes to the limits of possibilities to gain power or not lose it. This situation, therefore, must have an impact”, he continues.

In the commentator’s view, if the scenario continues, the right will not migrate with the extreme right towards any electoral project.

“In the next elections, I believe, we will have the outcome of a criminal case that will be the subject of a complaint from the Attorney General’s Office”, he analyzes. “I believe, if everything is confirmed, I find it difficult for them to believe they can escape in the face of the evidence”, he concludes.

As for Coppolla, the election will have an impact with Bolsonaro’s ineligibility, with other politicians putting themselves in the dispute given the scenario. But, for him, there is a great force on the right in the country, based on the 2024 municipal elections.

“The pendulum of the political spectrum is moving further to the right. So, the average voter is realizing that they have values ​​linked to conservatism and liberalism. The proof of this is that in more than 3,000 Brazilian cities there is right-wing hegemony”, says Coppolla.

The commentator also brings up the example of the United States, which saw the return of the more conservative right with the election of Donald Trump.

“We can see [os EUA] as an example here for the Brazilian case, in the sense that there was an experience of regression, let’s say, from ideas more linked to interventionism to ideas linked to progressivism”, he mentions. “And then, you have a return to Republican policies with the election of Donald Trump”, he concludes.

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