Cruzeiro runner-up in the South American Championship: how are the vacancies in the Libertadores for the Brazilian Championship?

by Andrea
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Cruzeiro vice-campeão da Sul-Americana: como ficam vagas na Libertadores pelo Brasileiro? image

Cruzeiro was defeated by Racing 3-1 this Saturday afternoon (23/11), in the South American Final. With the result, it is confirmed that Brazil will have eight representatives in the 2025 edition of the Copa Libertadores.

Without the continental title, Raposa will need to qualify for the tournament via the Brazilian Championship. Currently, the Minas Gerais team is in 7th place, with 47 points.

Next weekend, Atlético-MG or Botafogo will guarantee their place for the 2025 edition of the Libertadores. Flamengo is the other team that qualified for the continental tournament without needing the Brasileirão.

MORE: Racing x Cruzeiro: result, goals and how the Copa Sudamericana final went

Who are the Brazilian teams classified for Libertadores 2025?

Botafogo, Palmeiras and Fortaleza have already secured their places in the Libertadores 2025 through the Brasileirão. São Paulo only needs to add one point or Bahia and Cruzeiro stumble to also stamp their passport.

Flamengo, champion of the Copa do Brasil, will also compete in the Libertadores in 2025, transforming the G-6 into a G-7. If the Libertadores champion is Botafogo, then the G-7 becomes a G-8. The two worst in this group will compete in the preliminary round.

MORE: Sudamericana Final: Cássio missed the two goals conceded by Cruzeiro?

Which teams have the best chance of winning the Brazilian Championship?

Department of Mathematics at UFMG

  • Botafogo: 54.2%
  • Palm trees: 42.1%
  • Fortaleza: 2,8%
  • Internacional, Flamengo and São Paulo: less than 0.58%

MORE: Brasileirão 2024 artillery: who is the scorer?

Which teams have the best chance of winning the Libertadores in the Brazilian Championship?

Department of Mathematics at UFMG

  • Botafogo: 100%
  • Palm trees: 100%
  • Fortaleza: 100%
  • International: 100%
  • Flamengo: 100%
  • São Paulo: 100%
  • Bahia: 39,1%
  • Cruzeiro: 31.3%
  • Corinthians: 18%
  • Vasco: 5,7%
  • Atlético-MG: 3.3%
  • Victory: 0.96%
  • Grêmio, Athletico-PR, Fluminense, Juventude, Criciúma and Bragantino: less than 1% chance

MORE: where to watch the games of the day on TV

Which teams are most likely to be relegated in the Brazilian Championship?

Department of Mathematics at UFMG

  • Atlético-GO: 100%
  • Cuiabá: 99.95%
  • Criciúma: 61.1%
  • Bragantino: 51.5%
  • Youth: 41.3%
  • Fluminense: 26.5%
  • Athletico-PR: 10,3%
  • Grêmio: 6.0%
  • Victory: 3.0%
  • Atlético-MG, Vasco and Corinthians: less than 1%



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