Analysis
A political and economic crisis in France puts President Emmanuel Macron under intense pressure. Ricardo Alexandre, TSF journalist and SIC commentator, analyzes the various factors that complicate the country’s political future.
France faces a political and economic crisis, with Emmanuel Macron pressured to choose a new prime minister while dealing with a rising public debt. For Ricardo Alexandrethis moment is “a perfect storm that could have significant repercussions both in France and on the European political balance”.
With the Michel Barnier’s fall after a the President will already have several names on the table for the position of prime minister, says the journalist, highlighting candidates such as Bernard Cazeneuve, who was prime minister between 2016 and 2017, François Bayrou, founder of the centrist Democratic Movement, Sebastian Unicornwho was Minister of Defense with Elizabeth Borne, or Bruno Retailleau, current Minister of Internal Administration. But the choice will not be simple.
“Macron has to strike complex political balances, between the left, the centrists and the extreme right, which continues to gain ground with Marine Le Pen.”
The journalist highlights the seriousness of the French economic situation, which he considers similar to that of countries like Portugal and Greece during international financial intervention.
“Public debt is approaching critical levels, with interest rates around R$60 billion. France is one of the largest economies in the European Union, but it is facing challenges that put its position at risk.”
This economic scenario worsens social tensions and could be the catalyst for large-scale protests.
It is easy to predict the movement of social movements on the streets in the coming months. “France is experiencing a moment of enormous fragility and, in a context of political instability, this only amplifies the problems.”
“Macron is thus between a rock and a hard place, there are people from his own center-right party, who want him to bring forward the end of his Presidency, who mMacron has already said that he would not honor his commitment to the French until the last second of his term.”
