Study: In less than six years, the Arctic Ocean could run out of ice

The potential for an ice-free Arctic Ocean is one of the most striking examples of ongoing anthropogenic climate change, according to a new study published in the journal Nature.

Researchers have analyzed for the first time when the first ice-free day might occur in the Arctic Ocean, using daily data from several climate models.

According to the study, there is a wide range of projections for the first ice-free day, from 3 years compared to the model state equivalent to 2023 to no ice-free days before the end of the simulations in 2100, depending on the model and forcing scenario used.

The researchers then focused on nine simulations where the first ice-free day occurs in 3-6 years, potentially before 2030, they note Noi.md with reference to .

The study found that these early ice-free days all occur during a rapid ice-loss event and are associated with strong warming in winter and spring.