Study published in “Nature Communications” analyzed ice thinning through computer simulations
A study published in the journal Nature Communications revealed that the Arctic region could experience its first ice-free summer as early as 2027. The prediction was based on computer models and simulations.
The survey was carried out by Céline Heuzé, professor of climatology at the University of Gothenburg, Sweden. According to the researcher, extreme weather events are the main cause of melting ice. Ocean currents act to thin the ice, which is melted from below. Here is the document (PDF – 12 MB).
Simulations indicate that the Arctic could have its first ice-free day in 9 to 20 years from 2023, regardless of changes in greenhouse gas emissions. However, it also confirms that reducing emissions can slow down the process.
“Southeast Greenland contributes significantly to global sea level rise, with mass loss having increased by around 600% over the last 30 years due to enhanced melting”says the research
Among the points raised regarding global warming, the state emphasizes the importance of limiting global warming to 1.5°C by 2100. Furthermore, the loss of sea ice can affect the global climate and increase the frequency of extreme weather events , mainly in the northern hemisphere.
