Emmanuel Macron “promises a name between now and Thursday”“, they say from the Matignon Palace, while France once again despairs in the face of political uncertainty that continues over time.
Since last Friday, the president has maintained his round of consultations, and for the Elysee Palace All political groups have passed except for Marine Le Pen’s La Francia Insumisa and National Rally. The president is clear about his conditions: The government cannot be rebellious or lepenista, while the rest of the political parties have also expressed their red lines.
The leader of the traditional rightThe Republicans, ruling that their party “will vote on a motion of censure if the government includes members of LFI or a New Popular Front program.” The socialists insist that the prime minister must be left-wing, and the Government must commit to not applying article 49.3, which allows it to approve laws and budgets.
And ultimatum that extends and censor the favoriteso far, for prime minister: François Bayrou. The president of the socialists, Olivier Faure, stated this Wednesday that “no one can see François Bayrou“, since “it is not the right choice.” A tug of war that lengthens the negotiations over time.
Emmanuel Macron once again opts for strategy to weaken the left union through negotiations, and it seems that this time it could turn out well. The meeting between socialists and the president did not sit well with La Francia Insumisa, who called it “betrayal” a possible negotiation between both. “A government of general interest from Olivier Faure to Bruno Retailleu (minister of the interior)? How can we defend the New Popular Front program and participate in this team? “Are you crazy?” said the coordinator of La Francia Insumisa, Manuel Bompard.
The possible implosion of New Popular Frontthe left union created for confront the extreme right in the last legislative electionscould help the presidential field when it comes to forming a new center front against the extremes. Just a few days ago, the former prime minister, Gabriel Attal, already showed his interest in creating a “non-aggression” pact between socialists and the center-right to “return centrist politics to the French.”
Faced with the reproaches of Jean-Luc Melénchon to the socialist leader for meeting with Macron, Faure responds: “I have not abandoned the New Popular Front and I do not want to do so (…) I hope that the French are listened to, that the political crisis last little. “I voted in favor of censure and I have no regrets.” In the same way, François Hollande He also wanted to show a less combative profilealthough he reaffirms his decision to vote for the motion censorship of the government of Barnier: “The censure referred to both the conditions of the appointment of Michel Barnier, an eminently respectable man, but who made his government dependent on the National Rally, and because the budgets were not acceptable”.
The breakup of the New Popular Front may be a matter of days if part of the left decides to corner La Francia Insumisa and make an agreement with Macronism. The environmental leader, Marine Tondelier, is also in favor of reaching an agreement to get the country out of the blockade, but the fuse that blows the negotiations is the perfect candidate for prime minister.
For Macron, François Bayrou could be the rare pearl in this political chaos, but for the left, the leader of the center-right MoDem party, he does not generate sympathy. “François Bayrou’s hypothesis in Matignon is censorship,” stated the rebellious Bompart.
A prime minister in 48 hours
It is not the first time that his name appears among the candidates for prime minister, but for days it has sounded louder than ever, especially after attend the Notre Dame inauguration ceremony as a guest along with dozens of heads of state.
François Bayrou says he is prepared to help: “We cannot continue like this, if I can help us get out of all this, I will.” His profile meets many of the requirements requested by the president to occupy the position: his moderate ideas that would allow him to argue with both the right and the left, and his faithful support for Macron.
In 2017, the founder of MoDem He showed his support for Macron with a coalition that helped him come to power. This gesture did not go unnoticed by the president, who granted him the position of attorney general, although Bayrou resigned after a controversy over the misuse of public funds in his party.
Bayrou has also tried to start the race towards the Elysée. He has run as a candidate in three presidential elections, in 2002, 2007 and 2012, and his best result was in 2007 with 18.6% of the votes in the first round. However, now his profile as prime minister cools the negotiations between the left and Macronism.
Meanwhile…Marine Le Pen
Marine Le Pen has been shown discreet in her last public appearances, despite the fact that the leader of National Group has been gaining power in recent months to force Macron’s government to negotiate with his party.
Like La Francia Insumisa, its profile is uncomfortable. Hence, neither one nor the other have been called for consultations at the Elysée Palace. “I’m not sad that I wasn’t invited. Since I did not want to participate in Emmanuel Macron’s government, I had nothing to do,” said the leader and then lamented: “They did not meet to know how to solve the problems of the French, but rather how to preserve their place and how to keep it for as long as possible.” possible”.
A week ago, his support for the motion of censure presented by the left brought down the Barnier government, which until the last moment maintained telephone conversations with Le Pen to give in to their demands.
Some movements, until not long ago, unthinkable in French politics. But today, for some, Marine Le Pen already governs in the shadows. Hence, the presidential camp insists in its current negotiations on returning French politics to the center, to break with the extremes and avoid having to negotiate again with Le Pen in the near future. Although wishes are not always close to reality, National Group is the party with the most weight in the National Assembly, with 125 deputies.
