Lula voters trust the State more, says Datafolha

According to the survey, Bolsonaro’s supporters say they trust large Brazilian companies and the Armed Forces more

Datafolha survey shows that voters for the president (PT) trust the State more. Those who support the former president (PL) trust more large Brazilian companies and the Armed Forces.

The survey interviewed 2,002 people aged 16 or over in person in 113 municipalities across Brazil, from December 12th to 13th. The margin of error is 2 pp (percentage points), plus or minus, overall. It rises to 3 pp among Lula voters and 4 pp among Bolsonaro voters.

Among Lula voters, 87% said they trusted the Presidency a lot or a little. The percentage drops to 37% among Bolsonaro voters.

The STF (Supreme Federal Court) has the confidence of 79% of the president’s voters and 36% of the former chief executive’s supporters.

Here is the scenario, among Lula voters (sum of those who responded that they trust a lot or a little):

  • Presidency – 87%;
  • Public Ministry – 82%;
  • press – 82%;
  • Judiciary – 81%;
  • STF – 79%;
  • large Brazilian companies – 78%;
  • Armed Forces – 72%;
  • National Congress – 65%;
  • political parties – 58%;
  • social networks – 52%.

Here is the scenario, among Bolsonaro voters (sum of those who responded that they trust a lot or a little):

  • large Brazilian companies – 81%;
  • Armed Forces – 77%;
  • Public Ministry – 65%;
  • press – 60%;
  • Judiciary – 59%;
  • National Congress – 51%;
  • social networks – 50%;
  • political parties – 41%;
  • Presidency – 37%;
  • STF – 36%.

Datafolha asked what the country’s main problem is, taking into account what is within the scope of the federal government. Health had the highest percentage both among those who voted for Lula (24%) and among Bolsonaro voters (19%).

Among Lula’s supporters, health is followed by violence (13%), unemployment (9%), hunger/misery (9%), education (8%) and economy (5%).

Among Bolsonaro voters, for economy (13%), violence (12%), corruption (10%), others (8%) and education (7%).


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PODERDATA

Lula’s 3rd government is about to complete 2 years with the dollar priced above R$6 and with a record disapproval rate. Data from PowerData held from December 14 to 16, 2024, show that the PT administration is disapproved by 48% of Brazilians – the highest percentage in 24 months.

In addition to being the highest disapproval percentage recorded since the beginning of the mandate, in January 2023, the rate was also numerically above the approval percentage, which is 45%. There is a technical tie, as the margin of error is 2 percentage points, plus or minus.

The government’s negative perception rate has increased by 9 percentage points since Lula took office: it went from 39% to 48%. The government’s positive assessment fell 7 percentage points in 24 months, from 52% to 45%.

The research was carried out by PowerDatagroup company Poder360 Journalism, with its own resources. Data was collected from December 14 to 16, 2024, through calls to cell phones and landlines. There were 2,500 interviews in 192 municipalities in the 27 units of the Federation. The margin of error is 2 percentage points. The confidence interval is 95%.

To reach 2,500 interviews that proportionally fill (as they appear in society) the groups by sex, age, income, education and geographic location, PoderData makes tens of thousands of phone calls. Often, there are more than 100 thousand calls until interviewees are found that faithfully represent the population as a whole. Learn more about the methodology by reading.


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