According to AEB estimates, sales abroad next year should total US$358.828 billion
The (Brazilian Foreign Trade Association) projected a 5.7% increase in exports in 2025 compared to 2024.
According to the entity’s estimate, sales abroad next year should total US$358.828 billion. That’s US$19.443 billion more than this year, since the export projection for 2024 is US$339.385 billion.
Regarding imports, the country is expected to purchase US$265.780 billion from abroad next year, against the US$264.171 billion projected for 2024.
The surplus calculated by AEB should be US$93.048 billion in 2025 – an increase of 23.7% compared to the US$75.214 billion forecast for this year.
“The projections for foreign trade in 2025 signal apparent sustainability with a slight increase in prices and an increase in volumes, whose current forecasts indicate greater production of soybeans, corn, oil, beef, chicken meat, among others, however, with possibilities of adjustments in prices to levels lower than current ones”said AEB.
The entity’s survey also shows that exports of Brazilian products have their main destination in neighboring markets in South America. “Although at the moment we are witnessing China’s aggressive trade policy in this region, removing Brazil’s leadership in exports to its neighbors.”
The AEB report also highlights some “particularities”. According to the document, oil exports are projected to reach US$44.360 billion in 2024, a record for a single product, “exceeding the US$43.078 billion forecast for soybeans” this year.
According to the study, however, “except for crop failure problems”soybeans should regain their position as Brazil’s main exported product in 2025, with a projection of US$49.5 billion in sales abroad, with oil coming in second place, with US$44.1 billion.
As in previous years, soybeans, oil and ore are expected to account for 34.04% of total exports forecast for 2025, which means a small reduction compared to the likely 37.09% this year.
With information from .
