has not yet taken office. But, if we believe what he has written on his social networks, his plan is to destroy the international order built by the last decades. And no, it’s not to build something better.
In recent weeks, , offered to buy Greenland from and . It’s been a while since an American president proposed it.
And not just any territory: both Denmark and Denmark are traditional allies of the United States. If they are attacked by the Americans, they can invoke article 5 of the alliance’s charter, which states that an attack against one member of the alliance is an attack against all its members.
It’s things like these that fuel conspiracy theories that Trump is an agent of . There is no evidence that this is true, but the suspicion is understandable: what more can Putin ask for in life than a crisis that immobilizes NATO?
The most plausible explanation is that Trump and Putin share the same worldview: they do not recognize an international order beyond the balance of power between powers. They are “anti-globalists” because they oppose any international rule that limits the actions of those with the most weapons and money. But this refusal of the global is not a defense of the principle of self-determination of peoples, which limits the right of the strongest to invade the weakest.
If Trump’s vision comes true, instead of an international order – increasingly necessary to deal with global problems, from pandemics to financial crises – we will have a world in which increasingly violent powers control their neighborhoods without international rules to limit them. .
Geopolitical balances are not easy to change, and Trump will certainly face giant obstacles in realizing his vision for the American.
But it is not only in geopolitics that Trump intends to enact the furdunço. In the economy, the president-elect has been increasingly enthusiastically defending economic protectionism. It is even flirting with the idea of replacing Income Tax with very high tariffs on imported products.
One of the main reasons why the 2008 crisis was not as serious as the 1929 crisis was precisely the success of the World Trade Organization, which avoided a major outbreak of protectionism like the one that worsened the crisis 80 years earlier. That’s the kind of risk Trump is willing to take.
If implemented, the tariff increase will naturally raise American inflation. After all, if imported products were not cheaper, there would be no need to tax them. With higher inflation, the Federal Reserve will be forced to raise interest rates, which will have a bad effect on the entire world economy. The entire process of reorganizing the global economy after the pandemic could be ruined.
Again: we don’t know how much of this program will actually be implemented. But Trump’s radicalization shows how much American institutions failed when they didn’t arrest him for . An amnestied scammer is a scammer who dreams big.
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