Conservative parties show growth trend due to economic uncertainty and immigration issues
The presidential elections scheduled for 2025 are shaping a global scenario of political migration to the right. Electoral polls in 8 of the 9 main countries going to the polls this year point to the victory of conservative candidates. Government ideology must change in 5 of these nations.
From Latin America to Europe and Oceania, conservative and right-wing parties show a growth trend, driven by economic uncertainties and immigration issues.
As elections approach, voter preferences favor leaders across this political spectrum, who, with promises of security, economic stability and sovereignty, are gaining significant support, outperforming candidates from the center and left.
Electoral trends indicate that:
- Germany, Australia, Norway, Canada and Chile are experiencing a rightward movement, driven by dissatisfaction with their current left and center governments;
- Of the 9 countries analyzed, only Bolivia is expected to maintain its leftist government;
- Ecuador, Poland and the Czech Republic must maintain their right-wing governments.
According to Social Sciences professor José Pires Tupiná, a specialist in Political Science, this rise of the right is driven by 2 main factors: economic insecurity and concerns about immigration.
Tupiná explains that a One of the consequences of the Covid-19 pandemic was the reduction in interest rates globally, which resulted in an increase in inflation. “The price level is one of the decisive factors for maintaining a government”, stated in an interview with Poder360.
Even with the increase in immigration around the world, leftist governments tend to be more receptive, “but this can generate problems, such as crimes and cultural conflicts”he explained. As a result, many countries are opting for more restrictive policies on the subject.
The right, then, presents itself as a response to these challenges and presents promises of order, security and nationalism.
NON-G7 IMPACT
The same rightward trend is expected in the G7. In 2025 the group may once again have 5 right-wing leaders. It would be the highest number since 2011. Compared to last year, only the Prime Minister of Italy, Giorgia Meloni (Brothers of Italy, right) and the President of France, Emmanuel Macron (Renaissance, center) remain in their respective positions.
The change of 5 of the 7 leaders will be the biggest game of musical chairs in the group. It is not yet known who will take over the government in Germany and Canada. However, center-right candidates appear in the polls as favorites for both elections.
