Declared ineligible by the former president () articulates to 2026 a plan similar to that adopted by () in the 2018 election.
The today’s president was convicted of, registered candidacy, even with the forecast that she would be barred, and only close to the deadline she changed her name on the head of the plate for the then deputy (PT).
Bolsonaro insists on the reversal of in higher cuts, which has chances considered remote. He reaffirms to be the “plan to” of the conservative field and, at the same time, has empowered his son, federal deputy for the PL-SP and seen as eventual substitute.
The former president also incorporated into his strategy two speeches adopted by the PT at the time of the impediment of Lula’s candidacy: that the election without his presence “will not be democratic” and that he is the victim of “Lawfare” (manipulation of the laws for political purpose).
“Who will be the guy on the right [em 2026]? It has to be Jair Bolsonaro, otherwise it is not democracy. It is one thing to get ineligible because it really stole, deflected, did evil. The other is because he met with the ambassadors, “he said.
He disputes the decision of the (Superior Electoral Court) to make him ineligible by 2030 for abuse of political power and misuse of the media in a meeting with foreign ambassadors in 2022, in which the then president did.
Bolsonaro used the term “Lawfare” on Auriverde Brasil, which he defined as “the use of the judiciary to pursue opponents.” Amid criticism of the magistrates responsible for judging him, he said that “the system” wants to arrest him. “What are you doing with me? It’s not letting the election in 26.”
The former president’s movements have as their background the attempt to maintain political capital to strengthen his defense in the TSE, but especially in the (Supreme Court), where he may be tried for involvement in the case of.
The script is very close to that followed by Lula in the 2018 election – the end won by Bolsonaro.
The PT instituted the motto “Election without Lula is fraud” and, on the grounds that the claim would be fraudulent without the participation of the petista. The target of the acronym and militancy was Lava Jato, personified in the then judge, today senator by -PR.
The speeches of the PT’s national president, treated the restriction to Lula as continuity of what petistas call the coup in, that of the petista in 2016.
“Lula’s candidacy is vital to democracy. Without it, we will have the illegitimacy of the electoral process and the continuity of the breakdown of the democratic pact we did in the 1988 Constitution: sovereign vote and free elections!” February 2018.
At the time, the petista was already in the second instance, by the TRF-4 (Federal Regional Court of the 4th Region), but the defense bet on funds in court to the limit to try to maintain the candidacy. The PT message was that Lula was the only option, and there was no “plan B”.
In addition to the legal sphere, lawyers and allies headed a political battle, accusing Lava Jato of practicing “Lawfare”. then Lula’s lawyer and today Supreme Minister, and on the thesis.
The term has often emerged now in the mouth of Eduardo Bolsonaro and his father.
“We are seeing the same ‘Lawfare’ that faced him here,” while we were for the president’s inauguration. He criticized to recover the passport and go to the event.
At X (former Twitter), Eduardo said on the 15th that the ban on the trip is part of what he classified as “judicial activism”, translated as “use the justice system as a weapon to crush political opponents in court because they are afraid to face them at the polls “.
Lula’s strategy was.
The lawyers stated in the challenge request that the “alleged candidate”, with the support of the followers, adopted “a posture of victim of a judicial system that considers partial and persecuting, raising doubts about the legitimacy of the process that culminated with his conviction” .
This Thursday (23), in an interview with CNN Brazil, Bolsonaro contested comparison with Lula’s judicial persecution speech and said he is not “crying”. “I’m not Lula, no. There is. […] With me there’s nothing, […] They are theories and narratives on me. “
He also said that his wife is a “good name” to the presidency in 2026 and would have “a chance to arrive”, but and to the Metropolis website, he said he was talking about hypotheses and considers that she should run for the Federal District .
His surroundings say behind the scenes that the idea of replacement by the deputy is evaluated, but will depend on the context when the election is close. The former president resists indicating a successor to avoid his political emptying and thus keep the base mobilized to defend him.
The option of launching Eduardo directly, supported by allies if the father remains prevented, for now. The right field. Interested parties charge for a definition to try to agglutination.
In the Auriverde Brasil channel, speculating about who he “will support” to 2026, Bolsonaro himself said: “I only say something similar to the 48th half, when I really have no chance. But until then I’m sure that the people It will be with me on the streets. “
One of the side effects of Lula’s exchange for Haddad was the short time that today’s farm minister had to campaign with his name as a candidate – one month until the first round.
For the political scientist, Bolsonaro may have misleading by pushing the decision. “Unlike Lula in 2018, he does not have the political party control of his field. This is a strategy of his legal defense, and will not necessarily serve as an electoral strategy of the right,” he says.
