Dollar should close the year at R$6, according to experts consulted by the Central Bank; amount is the same as the last withdrawal
Economists consulted by revised their projections for , raising the estimate to 5.50% in relation to the (Broad National Consumer Price Index) by the end of 2025. This change represents an increase of 0.42 percentage points compared to the previous forecast, indicating that the inflation target, which is 3% with a tolerance margin of 1.5 percentage points, will be exceeded.
Expectations for the following years also became less optimistic. For 2026, the inflation forecast rose to 4.22%, while for 2028, the estimate is 3.73%. Despite the slowdown in the IPCA-15, which registered a rate of just 0.11% in January, the lowest for that month since the implementation of the Real Plan, analysts adjusted their expectations for the basic interest rate.
The (Copom) is scheduled to meet soon, where it is expected that the interest rate will be raised by one percentage point, from 12.25% to 13.25%. Furthermore, the Focus bulletin, which compiles market expectations, projects GDP growth of 2.06% for this year. However, forecasts for 2026 and 2027 indicate an economic slowdown. Regarding the exchange rate, the expectation is that it will end the year quoted at R$6.
*Report produced with the help of AI
Posted by Luisa dos Santos
