Survey evaluates the chances of 8 candidates in 4 different scenarios, score in the 2nd round and rejection rates
GENIAL RESEARCH/QUEST released this Monday (3.FEV.2025) shows that if the election were today, the President (PT) would be reelected. He appears ahead in the 4 scenarios for the first round and would win all the opponents in an eventual 2nd round.
The survey interviewed 4,500 people in person from 23 to 26 January. The margin of error is 1 percentage point, more or less. The confidence level is 95%. The survey was commissioned by the great investment. Here is (PDF – 28 MB).
They are tested, besides Lula:
Here’s the scenarios:
In the 2nd shift, Lula’s smallest advantage would be against Gusttavo Lima. In this scenario, the president would have 41% and the artist, 35%.
REJECTION
The Finance Minister, (PT), has the greatest rejection: 56% of respondents said they know him, but would not vote for him. It is followed by Eduardo Bolsonaro and the former president (PL), with 55% and 53% respectively.
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