The president reaches half his needy mandate of the enthusiasm he aroused in the past.
Recent research shows a drop in approval of his work; For the first time since 2023, more interviewed disapprove of it. The loss of support is significant because it also occurs among its faithful voters.
The good economic indicators – and work of GDP and employment – did not love the criticism of the opinion makers who doubt their medium term survival. The increase in food price seems to prevent those results from translating into a sense of improvement for the many living with money.
No government initiative has been able to raise popular mood. Much less the elites who suspect the agent and his party.
Given this, weak the fidelity of the right -wing subtitles that form the governing coalition. Ten out of ten analysts foresee political obstacles in Congress over the nearly two years of Lula’s presidency.
Government difficulties are of three types: institutional, political and clarity of objectives.
Brazilian political architecture inhibits the concentration of decision -making power in the national executive. Federation; Multipartisanship; and, consequently, coalition government; bicameral; And with broad powers are the institutional formula that deconcentrates power, restricts the unilateral capacity of the presidency and blocks governments of one party. Thus, it requires the negotiation of consensus between leaders and distinct subtitles.
The result is a process always slow and difficult to manage. And even more complicated when, over the past decade, the Legislature has strengthened before the executive.
In this arrangement, a fit leader is the one who adds, negotiating, convincing and granting; never what about imposing your will or your party’s program.
If government coalitions are always necessary because resulting from institutional factors, the current administration faces another difficulty-this properly political nature: to govern, the center-left president needs the right-wing, majority forces in Congress. However, having the right in government naturally reduces the ambition of any progressive agenda.
None of this is new to President Lula. After all, in the past, he ruled with coalitions that included center parties. Negotiator Note 10, he knew how to build consensus around policies of unambiguous social impact.
Although the institutions and new prerogatives of a legislature dominated by conservatives impose limits on center-left initiatives, it does not seem to be mainly the knot that ties current management to matte performance.
Because it is no longer enough for your driver to say that their goals are to take care of the people and guarantee work and food for all Brazilians. Lula is missing 3 clear objectives, focus and priorities – a economic policy that explains commitment to currency stability and sustainable growth and an innovative social agenda that will face the quality of public services and the creation of development opportunities to people and families.
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