After NATO turned the Baltic Sea into a Lake of NATO, the Russian fleet It seems to lose its presence in the Mediterranean. The arms reinforcement of the Baltic states, together with the entry of Sweden and Finland in the Alliance, has complicated the situation for the country of Putin in the Baltic, which is increasingly excluded.
After two months of the fall of the Bashar Al-Assad regime in Syria, the Russian fleet also began to disappear from the Mediterranean, escaping the Syrian port of Tartus (the main Russian base in this area). However, due to the situation of “uncertainty“Most are about to leave this point, according to a new report from the Royal United Services Institute from London.
Its displacement will lead Europe to suffer some consequences, as it will force Putin to look for another refuge as an alternative. Exist Three possible places that are obvious for their links with Russia, Although they don’t seem very good options. First, there is Algeria, although as he pointed out Russians“It is not clear that the strategic calculation favors the permanent presence of Russia”, since the Algerians would not obtain “any clear imperative in favor.”
There is also the Puerto Sudanlocated on the Sudanese coast of the Red Sea, which could be a better option than the previous one. “However, negotiations to establish a military maritime base, although they have been stagnant for several years,” he defended Russians. “This in itself would probably make Puerto Sudan a bad option as an immediate alternative to Tartus,” he added. In addition, in order to operate from here they should have to access from the Suez Canal, which complicates everything.
Finally, the option of Libyabecause “Russia already operates the Kadim air base in this region,” he said Russians. “Concentrating efforts in eastern Libya, Tobruk and potentially also Benghazi could offer safe refuge to a Russian fleet in the Mediterranean that has no home,” he said.
However, Tobruk may not be prepared. “With limited repair facilities and without dry dock, few bingers of sufficient size and limited opportunities for expansion, long -term investment in a permanent presence would probably present technical challenges,” he said Russians. Another issue that complicates its site in this area is that “Any Russian presence in Libya would depend, at least, on goodwill,” as claimed by the London Studies Center.
