Oscar 2025: “Anora“ becomes the big favorite after victories in DGA and PGA

In recent weeks, the movie “Aor”It seemed to have lost breath in the dispute for Oscar for best movie of 2025. Initially considered one of the main favorites after winning the Palm of gold in 2024the film suffered significant defeats in the Golden Globe This year, leaving empty hands.

However, the film had a triumphant weekend, regaining its favorite status to the prize. It all started on Friday (7), when.

Already on Saturday (8), “Anora” won the two most important awards of the unions, which usually indicate the winner in the category of best film: OEO – both honors were scheduled to be delivered to “”.

Why did “Anora” become the favorite of the Oscar 2025?

Mikey Madison in “Anora” • Disclosure/Universal Pictures

With the victories in the unions of producers and directors, “Anora” is mathematically consolidated as the favorite of the Oscar 2025. Understand some factors that suggest this:

Historic

LA LA LAND — Movie “La La Land” • Disclosure

Since the 2000s, Only three films who won this double did not take the gym’s big prize – and, in all cases, for political reasons: “” (2005), “” (2016) and “” (2019).

“Brokeback Mountain” lost to “Crash“, Which won the Award for Best Cast in the Union of Actors (SAG). At the time, the film starring strong homophobic retaliation within a then less progressive industry, something that producers and cast still comment on interviews.

“La La Land” Perdeu or Oscar for “Moonlight”At a time when Academy faced harsh criticism for the lack of diversity among its voters and nomineesa movement that became known as #oscarsowhite.

“1917” also lost the Oscar to “” amid discussions about diversity that were on the rise in industry.

Direction had a clear favorite

Adrien Brody Como László Tóth em "o Brutalist" — Adrien Brody Como László Tóth em “O Brutalist” • Lol Crawley/A24

Since the Oscar 2025 best directed seemed to have a clear favorite: Brady Corbet by “The Brutalist”, winner of the category at the event. Corbet also took the best direction on the Golden Globe and Critics Choice Awards.

However, in recent weeks, production has seen in the midst of some controversy about the use of arithficial intelligence. Dávid Jancsó, editor of the film nominated for the Oscar “The Brutalist,” he told Redhark News he used.

This episode seems to have echoed negatively to the film, especially considering that, less than two years ago, precisely due to the lack of regulation on the use of AI in film and television productions.

Vote intersection

Jacques Audiard receives an award from the Union of Directors of America (DGA) by "Emilia Pérez" from Zoë Saldaña on stage during the 77th edition of Directors Guild of America Awards at The Beverly Hilton on February 8, 2025, in Beverly Hills , California. — Jacques Audiard receives an award from the Union of Directors of America (DGA) by “Emilia Pérez” from Zoë Saldaña on stage during the 77th edition of Directors Guild of America Awards at The Beverly Hilton on February 8, 2025, in Beverly Hills , California • Emma McIntyre/Getty Images for DGA

The awards granted by the unions along the ones often define the main favorites of each category, as they are voted by industry professionals in their respective areas.

There is a great intersection between these voters and members of the Oscar Academy, who are also active audiovisual professionals.

Although the winning in both awards does not necessarily mean favoritism in the Oscar, since Your voters do not participate in the choice of the gym. However, these victories help to give candidates visibility by boosting their C.Ampanha thanks to the press attention.

“Anora” lost the Golden Globe for best film to “” at the time when the musical about a sex transition trafficker was on his peak -.

At the perfect time

"Anora" Dinner — “Anora” is among the nominees the best film at Oscar 2025 • Reproduction/Universal

The recent visibility of “Anora”, in contrast to his position at the beginning of the year, arrives at the perfect time. The Oscar 2025 vote to define the winners starts this Tuesday (11) and continues until February 18.

So this means that the voters will have to fill their banknotes considering the important victories of the movie about a stripper who marries the son of Russian oligarchs.

In the next few weekends before the Oscar 2025, there are the last great awards of the season: the, and the prize.

“Anora” can win both awards, only one or none. However, it is unlikely that a new favorite will appear at the last minute or a former favor recovers his post 45 minutes into the second half.

Until then, it remains to wait. .