Almost three years after the start of the war in Ukraine -they are fulfilled on February 24 -, the president of Russia ,, has “dismantled” the reserves of Equipment Military of the Soviet eraaccording to an analysis by an independent Russian publication.
While both parties have lost large amounts of team in this war that Moscow foresaw and is not being, recent analyzes suggest that the Kremlin You will have difficulty delivering enough team to the front line to “compensate for previous wear rates”.
Putin has already exhausted More than half of your available military team And, if you continue losing your military material at the same rhythm, He will lack the tanks, armored vehicles and artillery necessary to sustain their current combat intensity.
The conflict could decrease in intensity to the late 2025 or early 2026 due to these deficienciesas reported, pointing out that the conflict has caused the greatest exhaustion of the Russian military team in 80 years.
“Great reservations of weapons, mainly from the Soviet era, originally designed in the height of the Cold War for use in a global confrontation with the western world, They have exhausted at an unprecedented pace“says the publication.
Citing data from a Dutch Website of Open Source Defense Intelligence Analysis, The Insider states that Russia has lost more than 20,000 military team units since the war began, compared to the 7,000 lost by Ukraine.
Moscow, specifically, It has lost 11,600 armored vehicles, including 2,600 destroyed tanks, 1,900 armored personnel transport vehicles (APC) and 4,100 infantry combat vehicles (IFV), while Ukraine has lost 700 tanks, 800 APC and 900 ifv.
Around half of Russia’s equipment comes from its reserves of the Soviet era, which are gradually exhausted, and the rest of the stored equipment It is mainly in poor condition and it is unlikely that it can be sent to the front in Ukrainesaid the aforementioned medium. “Reservations available for rapid deployment in the front are estimated at around 2,000 tanks, 2,000 infantry combat vehicles and 3,000 armored personnel transport vehicles“, esteem.
It is not the only source that points to this wear and tear: the International Institute of Strategic Studies (IISS), a group of London -based experts, which is very likely that the Russian team that remains stored “Be in deteriorated conditions, which can make Russia deliver enough equipment to compensate for previous wear rates”.
His group of experts states: “While it is likely that Russian forces They degrade in the coming monthsof the cyclist sufficiently reconstituted and adapted to hold offensive operations for at least another year; This, however, It would have a very high cost in equipment and low“.
“The situation It is not as serious for Ukraine as it was in early 2024but it will continue Depending on Western support And from the improvement of the management of your staff to avoid more setbacks on the battlefield, “he adds.
Both Russia and Ukraine will continue fighting with the shortage of teams in the conflict And, therefore, the rhythm of the conflict is likely slow down Unless kyiv or Moscow can “drastically increase national military production or gain access to allied reserves of military team, “he concludes The Insider.
