GAVRIIL GRIGOROV / EPA
Vladimir Putin, President of Russia
If the agreement in Ukraine “is very close to Russia’s maximum ambitions, we will have a much higher war in the short term.”
It’s just a “it seems”, but it looks like it’s more next than ever a Agreement to end the war in Ukraine.
Os signs have appeared above all on the Ukrainian side, namely through the President Volodymyr Zelenskyy.
In December, Zelenskyy began to change the speech and admitted that the Ukrainian forces can no longer recover on the ground what Russia occupied :; In recent days, he said he is ready to and admitted with Russia.
António José Telo says that “we know what Russia and Ukraine want” – and they are “incompatible” desires, so There will be concessions.
“If there is an agreement, you need to know which side you will take. Although, for me, there is no doubt about which side is international law and the values of the United Nations Charter, ”said the teacher at the Military Academy.
Na, the expert warned that he can start a (new) war soon: “If this agreement is very close to Russia’s maximum ambitions, we will have a much larger war in the short term. If Russia comes out victorious of this war, a new conflict is inevitable. ”
The central question is the objectives of Kremlin: “ Russia has many aspirations and ambitions. Use minorities To cause problems in other countries, justify an intervention and then even intervenes at the military. ”
And António José Telo compares Putin’s strategy to Adolf Hitler’s: “This is nothing new. It is exactly without taking or putting it, what Hitler did before World War II. This is how he invaded Czechoslovakia, causing problems with German minorities in the Sudes, Czechoslovakia, and then gaining the assignment of this state. ”
Now Russia does the same “with more facilities, because it has more means to act.”
In the midst of nine wars in which this Russia has already been involved, there is an explanation: “The regime needs this to maintainto justify itself internally. You have to create the idea of a threat internally and have to gain – something you have done almost always. ”
In relation to Donald Trump, The teacher thinks that the president of the US has a “very way of negotiating, with bombastic statements for all to listen, and then sends dozens of people to contacts, in this behind the scenes negotiation.”
Trump has a different concept of war and conflict “different from normal”. Translating: “What counts is the strength, Force overlaps with lawforce does the fact and the law follows. ”
“It is a European concept of the eighteenth century, very visible in the Napoleonic wars: War is a business. And being a business, it only compensates for a war that brings advantages to those who get involved in it. So it is normal for Trump to ask and it is normal for Zelenskyy to give in to this field, ”he added.
António José Telo agrees with Volodymyr Zelenskyy: A European aid is not enough For Ukraine to have peace, either financially and in the most sophisticated weaponry.
And launches serious warning about European defense: “ Europe has fallen tremendously in recent decades: In defense, in the forces it has in the defense industry – which simply disappeared from Europe – in the investigation… it was behind everything. ”
“It’s an impressive thing to see how Europe committed a suicidewhile great global power. He is trying to recover but in three years of war has done little, ”he said.
The military subject expert concludes by saying that Europe will only take a “minimally dangerous” step if he has US green light, as he saw in tanks or fighters.