A new study reveals alarming data. More than 350 people have been asked about some possible scenarios about what can happen in the coming years. Wars, nuclear tensions or climate change policies are some of the points consulted by the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Safety of Atlantic Council.
the 357 “were mostly citizens of the United States”, although the others were distributed in “sixty countries on all continents, except Antarctica.” So, The portal presents the “most surprising” results of the survey.
40% expect a third world war
The survey raised in one of his questions if in 2035 a third World War is expected, and More than 40% responded yes. “Judging by the responses of our respondents, another World War could include nuclear weapons“, says the medium. Thus, 48% of respondents expect these weapons to be used by at least one of the world nations.
In addition, 28%, “identified the war between the main powers, such as the greatest threat to world prosperity.”
A conflict of this type could also take place in the ultra -resort space. ” 45% of respondents in general (and 60% of those who predicted World War third) expected the next decade to include a direct military conflict, at least in part, in part, In space.
Tensions with China and Russia
According to the conclusions of the study, respondents predict a future in which current strategic competence and geopolitical tensions between the United States and China “They could be exacerbated soon“.
In this sense, 45% of the participants were “something or very agreed” that Russia and NATO will get involved in a military conflict direct in the next ten years. In addition, “69% anticipate a direct confrontation between Russia and NATO.”
Alliances in ten years
47% of respondents forecast that, in 2035, “the world will be largely divided into blocks aligned with China and the United States. In addition, in this group,” almost 60% expect the block to align with China includes Russia, Iran and North Korea as formal allies. “
Presence of nuclear weapons
According to respondents, the next decade could bring developments “Very worrying“With regard to nuclear weapons. 88% of them expect that at least one new country obtains nuclear weapons in the next decade. Although,” just under three quarters of respondents, they predicted that they will exceed their current threshold “
In fact, an outstanding fact is that “More than a third of respondents expect Israel to get involved in a direct war with Iran before 2035“.
In addition, it is considered that “North Korea and Russia are the most likely countries to lanar an attack with nuclear weapons.” 48% of respondents expect them to use in the next decade.
The United States force remains
71% expect the United States to remain military power in 2035, in addition 58% forecasts that will also be dominant in the technological sector. Even so, it is concluded that it will have “relatively less economic and diplomatic power“.
As for their alliances, 67% believe they will maintain the same as today in 2035. As for the EU, “just under a third of respondents expect to reach strategic autonomy” in the next decade.
Pessimism at the end of the war in Ukraine
In the midst of Donald Trump’s emerge terms to a large extent favorable “for Russia. Only 4% expect them to culminate favorably for Ukraine.
Optimism in the Middle East
With the current high fire in the Gaza Strip, there is an optimism among the study participants in terms of the current geopolitical situation in the Middle East. 56% believe that in ten years, Israel will have normalized their diplomatic relations with Saudi Arabia. Although more than 60% expect the conflict with Palestine to continue.
Climate change
Respondents are skeptical about the ability of the UN (United Nations Organization) to address the challenges of global governance, Like climate change.
Little less than 40 percent of respondents predicted that greenhouse gas emissions will have reached their maximum point and will begin to decrease by 2035.
In addition, only around half of respondents believe that Renewable Energy Technologies They will be the dominant form of electricity production worldwide by then, despite the significant growth in the demand for renewable energy.
