The dizzying fall in the approval of the 20 -month presidential election makes the scenario of the 2026 dispute more uncertain. The first doubt to gain strength is the most obvious, if the president himself will try to get a fourth term.
Even before the current survey, the president’s allies scenario was unbelief. As a government that boasts very reasonable economic indicators, with decent economic growth and can it generate so much popular dissatisfaction?
In addition, Lulistas emphasize, there is a political base in Congress that has worked, with the approval of the main projects of interest of the executive, and the absence of great corruption scandals.
The answer, as always, goes through the economy, especially for inflation, and it is not even necessary to reach the cost of picanha. Products of great symbolic weight, such as coffee and orange, climbed the fairs and supermarkets and took the middle and low classes.
There is something bigger than that, however, and then comes Lula’s own figure, which only feeds the speculation that he will have to give up reelection.
There seems to be a certain fatigue of material with the president, who is aggravated by his recent health problems, the ethaismo on the part of society and his inexhaustible source of gaffes.
Goals against how the Pix crisis, turbocharged by an opposition that knows how to amplify controversy on social networks, pass the image of confusion and that no one is in charge. Worse, they portray a “caste” (to use a term) that just wants to take money from the population and deliver little in return.
It is not, of course, all lost to the president, who is the first to understand that it is necessary to change and react immediately. The exchange in communication, with the arrival of
Lula, 79, is also more dynamic on social networks and has been able to be, with interviews and events, the “engine” of public debate in recent weeks, as the expectation of the marketer-minister was the expectation.
Even for Janja left, in an arduous attempt to reduce the dazzled pecha that stuck to it – Basta see the amount of references to appointment agendas and the word “work” in their networks.
In the economy lies the greatest hope to regain the support of the less ideological voter, since the Society’s Bolsonarist Rosary is considered lost cause.
Inflation should give in at some point in the year, and unemployment tends to stay low for a while even with the braking in the economy caused by high interest rates. There is still high expectation in the Planalto for the approval of two proposed measures, the exemption of income tax up to R $ 5,000 and the consignment of the private sector.
The Government and Sidonius is admittedly competent in exploring them.
But there is no escape from the fact that there is an impressive descendant curve of approval that generates many questions.
Will Lula be political and personal to reverse the scenario? In your absence, who can assume the ruling cloak in minimally competitive conditions?
All of this occurs at a time when alliances for 2026 begin to form.
Lula depends on high popularity to maintain the support of influential sectors of the center right and prevent them from debating for an opposition candidacy. Either the numbers of future surveys get better, or the task will be difficult to impossible.
