The approval of the president () collapsed in two months from 35% to 24%, reaching an unprecedented level for the petista in his three passages through the Planalto Palace. The disapproval is also a record from 34% to 41%.
They think the government regulates 32%, compared to 29% last December, when it had done so. In this survey, 2,007 voters were heard in 113 cities, Monday (10) and Tuesday (11), with a margin of general error of two points for more or less.
The fall demonstrates the impact of successive crises through which the government is going through, being the most showy of them. It occurred in January, with the dissemination that the government transactions over R $ 5,000 for the instantaneous bank transfer modality.
Continuously, there was an opposition charging, suggesting improper control, and a flood of fake news saying that there would be a taxation of the Pix. The government was astonished, and the measure.
Lula preferred to assign the fiasco to his communication and exchanged the sector’s leadership, promoting the, which was already active in the Plateau, for the place of petista Paulo Pimenta. The problems, however, continued.
Food inflation is a constant focus of concern, and the president did not contribute to phrases like the one in which he suggested that people stop buying expensive food. If in theory it seems logical, it sounded like a hand washing, properly used by the most agile opposition.
Result: Lula has gathered the worst assessment of his life as president. Earlier, he had reached 28% great and good in October and December 2005, in his first term (2003-06). Already the highest rate of bad and terrible was recorded last December (34%).
His third term, which began in 2023, was being marked by average between nine Datafolha surveys, his approval was 36% and the disapproval of 31%. Current numbers speak for themselves.
Its main antagonist in Brazilian polarization, the predecessor (), had a disapproval similar to this time of his mandate, marking 40% bad/bad. His approval, however, was something better: 31%.
The research shows the erosion of Lula’s popularity even in groups usually close to the petista, which should make yellow lights on in the plateau in red. They are strata with great electoral importance for the size.
In the portion of those earning up to two minimum wages, for example, approval fell from 44% to 29%. They represent 51% of Datafolha’s population sample, and the group’s margin of error is three percentage points only.
In 33% of ears that have only elementary school, the fall was also from 15 points: from 53% to 38%. Here, the margin of error is four points.
Even in the Northeast Fortress, from petism despite the advance of pockets, there was great damage, with the great/good sliding from 49% to 33%, in a region that concentrates 26% of the electorate, also margin of four points.
Among Lula voters in the second round against Bolsonaro in 2022, the retreat was 20 points, reaching 46%. Here, disapproval almost doubled (7% to 13%), but distrust caused the opinion to migrate more to the regular, which went from 27% to 40%. The margin of error is four points.
Putting the approval numbers in the balance form, Lula only comes to blue among the less educated, with a positive margin of ten points, and numerically among the northeastern, with thin three points.
The worst groups, in terms of balance, are the three income ranges above 2 minimums: from 2 to 5 and from 5 to 10 salaries (33 negative points in both) and over 10 (45 negatives), stressing that there Error margins are respectively 4, 8 and 12 points, more or less.
The research has not done electoral speculation, but will serve as fuel for the deaf debate that hears in the governing hosts about Lula’s chances in 2026.
Recently they point out that he is a favorite, but it is still early and the long -term impact of exposure to rain of disapproval is unknown.
The president himself has been trying to suggest caution, saying he will be a candidate next year “if he is legal health.” He has already chosen an argumentative line, repeated by his ministers, to explain the crisis in which his government is.
“This is my year. I want to unmask this amount of lie I have in fake news, on mobile, everyone lying to everyone,” he said on a trip to the northern region last week, remaining know if this will be enough to reverse the Curve sometimes unfavorable of its approval.
Meanwhile, the opposition moves, with the most obvious presidential presidentials, such as the governor (Republicans-SP), and variants of net pockets, such as testing the waters. Bolsonaro remains ineligible until 2030.
