Despite the expectation that the survey on Friday (14) boosts the scholarship scheduled for March 16, auxiliaries and allies of () evaluate that the chances of the movement to create conditions for any impeachment of Lula (PT) are low. And they see other difficulties for the former president this year.
The survey in the percentage of Brazilians who approve the Lula administration from 35% to 24%. The disapproval is also a record from 34% to 41%.
Since Friday, when the survey was released, Bolsonaro has resumed attacks on the TSE (Superior Electoral Court) and the ballot box, a type of speech he had not publicly done for months, but which usually resonates among his supporters.
At the same time, social networks of the far right of the 16th, amplified by Posting by Elon Musk, owner of the X and member of Donald Trump’s government in the United States.
On Friday night (14), the billionaire shared on the social network a publication that mentioned the act.
In an interview with Youtube Brazil Talking News on Saturday, Bolsonaro said he goes to the act and mentioned the impeachment agenda.
“It will be what? Amnesty and national issues. Others will be impeachment, others will be any other subject. Collaborate, participate,” he said.
Bolsonaro’s public gestures in recent days contrast with the posture he had been adopting so far, with waves to reduce tensions with other political agents and seek a negotiated solution for his ineligibility.
The former president had supported the election of the mayor, Hugo Motta (Republicans-PB), who.
Bolsonaro also whose bench could be decisive in a vote on amnesty.
However, both pockets and central politicians evaluate that a possible complaint from Bolsonaro to the Supreme Court (Supreme Court) on charges of participation in the coup plot at the end of his mandate should weaken any attempt to discuss an amnesty project in Congress.
As anticipated the Sheetthere is expectation among Supreme Ministers that the Attorney General, Paulo Gonet ,.
The former president’s live on Saturday was played by a São Paulo ally as a sign that Bolsonaro bets on popular mobilization to recover his political rights.
For this assistant, Lula’s unpopularity revealed by Datafolha, the expectation of Trump’s support (and his ally Elon Musk) and the closing of the window to the amnesty are three factors that lead Bolsonaro to turn to popular agitation.
According to, Bolsonaro EE allies defined as a motto for the “outside Lula 2026, amnesty already”.
However, another former president’s assistant sees difficulties for the group to expand the demonstrations to guidelines that go beyond amnesty requests and reach sectors outside the so-called “Raiz Bolsonarism.”
The evaluation is that the melting of Lula’s popularity is related to a frustration of expectations of the population, which expected from petista management an increase in purchasing power, but has been living with the high prices, an agenda without points of contact with ideological themes .
As the government has already started a “tidying brake” and began to make changes, this pocketist evaluates that there is still time for Lula to reverse the scenario of unpopularity.
In addition, its reading is that low popularity by itself would not be sufficient to create conditions that would lead the political class to embark on a impeachment project of the current president.
International cooperation
In the case of the United States, involving Lula and the administration of Joe Biden.
This Saturday, in broadcast alongside his son Eduardo (federal deputy for the São Paulo PL), the former president accused the TSE of having received funds from abroad to fund a campaign aimed at stimulating 16 to 18-year-olds to take the title. of voter.
“They [TSE] made a campaign, then yes, you can have money out “, said Bolsonaro. According to him, this age group has more leftist voters, and the court campaign would have favored Lula in the elections.
The statements, without any evidence, echo allegations that have been disclosed by pockets and tricks that the US USAID agency funded the petista’s victory in Brazil during the Joe Biden government.
The manufactured scandal has become an eloquent example of the Global Populist Right Union under Trump’s new term.
Bolsonaro had the ineligibility declared by the TSE for the political use of September 7 and by meeting at the Dawn Palace in which Bolsonaro released attacks and lies about the Brazilian electoral system