The approval of the government of the president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) reached the worst index of his three terms ahead of the executive. In two months, the popularity recorded by the Datafolha survey, in the result released on Friday (14). Among the Catholics, the Lula government was considered “great or good” by 28% – in December 2024, it was 42%.
His approval among evangelicals also decreased in the period: from 26% to 21%. The survey interviewed 2,007 voters in 113 municipalities of Brazil on February 10 and 11, 2025.
The margin of error is three percentage points for Catholics and six percentage points for evangelicals, more or less.
The genius/Quaest poll released on January 27 indicated the most significant rejection of evangelicals to the president, with the group among those who least approve their performance in current management. In this clipping, 37% rated Lula positively, and 59% rejected the petista.
The growth of this demographic group may represent a threat to a possible reelection of Lula. This is what a survey by the Mar Asset Management Management company points out that projects that evangelicals should represent 35.8% of the Brazilian population in 2026, when the next claim occurs.
The curve would represent an increase of 3.7 percentage points since the 2022 presidential elections. The correlation with performance in a possible reelection was estimated using, in addition to the projection of increased evangelical population, the voting rates between the religious segment in the religious segment Past elections of the elected presidents and Lula’s current popularity.
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To the EstadãoReverend Luis Alberto Sabanay, Presbyterian pastor and policy advisor to the PT National Secretariat of Popular Movements, has already stated that the government needs to promote adjustments to the communication strategy to act more directly with evangelicals.
Since last year, Lula has been sanctioning symbolic laws in an attempt to approach the Christian electorate. This is the case of the creation of the National Day of Gospel Music; Evangelical Pastor Day and the recognition of Christianity and the Círio de Nazareth as manifestations of national culture.
