Gavriil Grigorov; Sputnik; Kremlin Pool / EPA
Putin Na CSTO
Russia accepts Ukraine’s adhesion to the European Union, but not to the born, and wants to ward off Volodymyr Zelenskyy from power. These are the conditions of departure for a peace agreement, but Vladimir Putin’s real intentions go beyond these temporary goals.
“A Ukraine’s adhesion to the European Union It is a sovereign right of each country. ” The words are from Kremlin spokesman Dmitri Peskov, who, at a telephone press conference, quoted by the French agency AFP, revealed some of Russia’s demands to achieve a peace agreement.
“No one has the right to dictate the rules to another country,” but this is “completely different when it comes to Security issues and military alliances“, He also stressed Peskov, referring to the NATO [Organização do Tratado do Atlântico Norte]and reinforcing that Russia does not admit the adhesion of Ukraine to this entity.
The integration of Ukraine in the NATO, or any other country that is in the Russian influence zone, is a Red Line for Putin.
This was the main reason that led to. But Donald Trump’s administration has publicly stated that the Ukraine will not join the NATOputting Putin’s desire on the table even before the conditions for peace have been negotiated.
Weaken Europe and the born
It is “impossible” to speak of peace in Ukraine without discussing “a long term regulation” and without a “global examination of Security questions ”in Europealso warned Peskov.
Russia wants to reorganize the European security architecture, namely with the withdrawal from the forces of the born from Eastern Europeand with the reduction of US military presence.
Ultimately, it is weaken – And we already know that Donald Trump does not love the organization either, having announced the intention of reducing spending in this context.
An American diplomat defined this rapprochement between Russian and US leaders as “an alliance between a Russian president who wants destroy Europeand an American president who also wants to destroy Europe. ”
Europe as a “secondary actor in the drama of strong men”
In Russia, US rapprochement is seen as Putin’s “A Triumph”and as a sign of “respect” and recognition, “as Russian research journalists Andrei Soldatov and Irina Borogan underline an opinion article in the online newspaper.
But the way Trump has ruled out Ukraine and the European Union of Peace Negotiations is also “public recognition that Ukraine and Europe must have a subordinate roleIn the drawing of any agreement, the journalists pointed out.
Putin wants to see Europe in his “true place in this admirable new world: that of Secondary actor in the drama of strong men“They also considered it.
Ukraine is reduced to “a client or USA PAYMENT FALLY STATEconfronted with the reality of repaying the military and economic support it received during the war and to give the US rights to extract its natural resources, including ” – arguments that Putin understands, and argues, the journalists in the mentioned article.
Zelenskyy’s head and the “Ukraine subjugation”
The dismissal of the Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy It is another of Putin’s demands, as is clear from Peskov’s words.
The Kremlin spokesman stressed that Putin is willing to “negotiate with Zelenskyy,” “if necessary.”
But warned that “the legal framework of the agreements must be discussed given the reality”, noting that Moscow does not recognize “legitimacy” to the Ukrainian President because his term officially expired in May 2024.
A Martial law Which in Ukraine, since the Russian invasion, has suspended all electoral acts in the country.
Putin’s desire will then be afastar Zelenskyy to put in power someone “more complacent” and that “press for Federalization of Ukraine“, And for” the Russian to become the second official language, “and” that Russian schools and Russian culture are institutionalized, “said the Royal United Services Institute, Neil Melvin, director of international security director.
In addition, Putin would like to make Ukraine in a kind of “neutral” state, disarming the country and removing all foreign troops from the territory.
Of course you also want to “win” the Ukrainian territories that attachedas well as the parts of the Donetsk and Luhansk regions that have not yet been occupied.
But it wants more than land – wants “Ukraine subjugation more broadly“It analyzed Melvin.
What does Putin really want?
Looking at the long run, Putin’s goal is not really a “sustainable peace,” the US in the great “friend of Russia,” said journalists Andrei Soldatov and Irina Borogan also pointed .
Distrust of the eternal enemy persists and the West in its own is still seen as the other “treacherous” That “has always sought the complete destruction of Russia,” said the journalists.
As a “surrounded fortress”, the Russia “cannot have true allies”they bid too.
In this scenario, Putin will try to “use Trump to get an advantage “Opting a tactic move, since strategic peace is impossible,” said Soldatov and Borogan.
Royal United Services Institute’s international security director Neil Melvin stressed at Euro News that we must not forget that he has “a Vision Private History of Russia“, And that sees” many of the lands of contemporary Ukraine, “and from other nearby countries, such as” being Russian because they were taken by several Russian tsars. “
That’s what the President of the LatoniaEdgars Rynevics, who has no messages of tranquility for his citizens, quite the opposite.
“Never stop panicking”he wrote in his profile on Social X Networks, the former Twitter, the head of state of the nation bordering Russia and was part of the former Soviet union.
Never stop panicking
– Edgars Rinkēvičs (@EdgarsRinkevics)
Without referring to Putin’s Russia, it seems clear that it is his threat. Also, in the recent past, Rinkevics had already warned of a possible Russian aggression, even before.
The defense of the rights of Ukraine is also a matter of survival for the small Baltic country of about 2 million people – and for several other states in the region.
Susana Valente, Zap //
