The polls, for once, were not wrong. The two great German, CDU and SPD games have been punished at the polls. . They have not reached 30% of the votes and have lost 830,000 voters who voted for the extreme right. Its leader, Friedrich Merz, has not convinced at all: he has spent 20 years out of politics, it is not known if he will be a good chancellor because he has never exercised a public office. Now your time has arrived and the bet is very high.
It rose a lot of alternative for Germany (AFD), as planned, up to 20% that surveys augured him, but has not gone further. Bundestag’s policy, precisely in this year that 80 years of the end of Nazism are commemorated.
The Social Democrats, however, recorded a strong drop up to 16% of support, almost ten points less than three years ago, and frightened by the fear of Trump and Putin and the bad economic situation. Olaf Scholz has assumed defeat, but he didn’t want to resign. Only 18% of citizens considered a good manager. Many think that more of the unemployed and those who live from the state aids that work and get up every day have taken care of each day.
84% of German voters – a record of participation from the reunification – has gone to the polls, depressed and distressed. They want to have a stable government as soon as possible and inspire confidence. And the winner, Friedrich Merz, knows: “The world expects a lot from us,” said half an hour after the closure of the electoral schools. “We have to start talking to the social democrats immediately and getting to work now.” , that is, for mid -April. And citizens expect that Executive to be stable and not the cage of crickets that have left behind. Also that these politicians demonstrate competition and do not miss in empty speeches. There are three great concerns of the Germans, according to the latest surveys: irregular immigration (27%), the economic recession (26%) and the fear of a possible war in Europe for the aggressiveness of a putin supported by the United States (20 %).
The urgency of closing a government agreement may perhaps facilitate the search for commitments between conservatives and social democrats. More hard hand, reinforced controls on the borders and rapid expulsions for those who do not have the right to stay in the Federal Republic. If the greens finally enter a future coalition, which is not yet clear, things would be complicated in this field.
Nor will it be easy to agree on the future economic agenda: Merz wants to improve taxation for companies and citizens, but this means less income and less social spending. And the SPD can only save the face before his followers if he maintains in this new stage something of “social democracy”, that is, more social protection in a rich country where one in five children, according to the NGO Save the Children, is poor and poor where 21% of the population lives from subsidies because it is officially a needy.
Merz faces a double challenge: not only but those throughout Europe. You won’t have time to think much. Circumstances will force you to act and offer quick responses, which increases the possibilities of making mistakes. It only remains to wish you good luck.
