The YR4 asteroid, which has even been likely to shock the Earth by 2032 of 3.1%, is now harmless after a NASA revision.
An asteroid that was feared to have a record probability of reaching the earth by 2032 was officially declared harmlessaccording to the latest NASA data.
Asteroid 2024 YR4 initially caused concern when NASA increased its estimated impact likelihood to 3.1% – the highest ever recorded for a spatial object of its dimension. The asteroid, about 55 meters in diameter, was large enough to cause devastating destruction if it collided with the earth. However, new observations of your trajectory dramatically reduced the risk of impactleading to its complete removal from NASA’s potential hazard list.
In early February, NASA’s nearby Object Study Center (CNEOS) estimated that the asteroid had a probability of 1 in 32 to reach Earth in its nearest approach, on December 22, 2032. This probability rapidly descended to 0.28% (1 in 360) on February 21 and since then came down to only 0.005% (1 in 20 000 ). As a result, NASA has lowered the risk level from asteroid to zero on the Torino impact danger scale, which means that does not now represent any threat.
The Torino scale is used by astronomers to assess the potential risk represented by asteroids and comets, taking into account both size and probability of impact. When the impact odds of the 2024 YR4 exceeded 1% in January, it was temporarily classified as level 3indicating the need for careful monitoring due to its localized destruction potential.
However, as probability descended below 1%, it was rejected to level 1, which means that There is no unusual danger. Now, with its probability of impact below the critical threshold of 1 in 1000, it has been transferred to level 0 – confirming that there is no risk.
Richard Binzel, the MIT professor who developed the Torino scale, confirmed the level descent in a statement to. “Asteroid 2024 YR4 has now been transferred to the zero level of the Torino scale (the level to ‘without danger’), as the additional screening of its orbital trajectory reduces the possibility of intersection with the earth to less than 1 to 1000” , he explained.
“The Object Study Center near the NASA JPL land list now the probability of the 2024 YR4 as 0.00005 (0.005%) or 1 by 20,000 for its passage through Earth by 2032. This is zero, friends!”.
With this reassessment, there are no known asteroids that pose a significant risk to the earth. Although astronomers continue to monitor space for potential threats, the latest findings reaffirm that 2024 YR4 will not be one of them.
