Despite the continuous Negotiations between the US and Ukrainethe possibility of reaching a peace agreement still remains remote. The Differences marked between Washington’s demands and Ukraine expectationsadded to disconcerting Donald Trump alignment with RussiaThey have made the stage even more complicated.
The global affairs analyst Fareed Zakaria what “No one expected the United States to get on the side of the aggressive dictator”. In this context, the White House National Security Advisor, Mike Waltz, urged Volodimir Zelenski to An agreement that, according to current proposals, would imply that Ukraine yields 50% of its income from minerals and natural resources to the US.
However, even if an agreement between the US, Ukraine and Russia will be reached, they persist concerns about the viability and stability of the same. Analysts consider that a high temporary fire may be nothing more than a pause for Russia to reorganize and prepare a stronger offensive. In addition, they exist Doubts about whether the agreements achieved would be enough to calm the underlying tensionswhich could lead to a new escalation of the conflict.
“I tend to think that the most likely scenario is that both Russia and the United States press for a ceasefire, simply because the underlying problems here are so complex that it would be necessary to have time to negotiate these issues“, dice John Loughformer NATO representative in Moscow and a member of the Russia and Eurasia program in Chatham House.
One of the issues that most concern is Withdrawal of American troops from Eastern Europewhich could send a sign of weakness to Russia and be interpreted as a opportunity to intensify your aggression without serious consequences. Experts point out that any cuts in the presence of NATO in the region could endanger the security of Europe.
The debate on the relationship between the US and Russia has also been complicated by the Trump’s posturewho has suggested allow Russia to return to G7 and soften the imposed sanctions. This approach could divide Washington’s allies and strengthen Putin in their effort to destabilize world order.
