GENIAL RESEARCH/QUEST released on Wednesday (26) reinforces the series of bad news involving the government assessment and the projection of () for.
The survey shows an increase in negative opinions about its third term in eight surveyed states, including two in the Northeast – and – where negative considerations are high and positive reflocation.
These two states, including, are the only ones in which the agent appears in front of () in the dispute for the presidency in 2026, when the petista should seek reelection. The former president, however, is ineligible by decision of the (Superior Electoral Court) by 2030.
In, for example, Lula marked 55% of negative assessments, against only 16% positive and 27% regular, with 2% who do not know or did not want to answer. Similar picture is found in the states of e.
In mining lands, essential for the petista’s victory in 2022, there are 51% with negative opinions to the current federal government, compared to 22% positive and 25% regular.
The highest figures of considerations disapproving the president’s work are in and in, with 59% and 58%, respectively.
The largest positive assessment is in Pernambuco, with 33%, followed by Bahia, with 30%. In the case of the first, the number is still on the margin of error in relation to negative opinions, which mark 37%. In the second, there are 38% of negative opinions, above positive.
The survey was conducted in person in the eight states with voters from 16 years or over last Wednesday (19) until Sunday (23). They were interviewed between 1,104 and 1,482 people in Bahia, Goiás, Minas Gerais, Paraná, Pernambuco, Rio de Janeiro, Rio Grande do Sul and São Paulo.
The error margins are three percentage points for all, except for the Paulistas, where it is two points.
The scenarios surveyed for the 2026 presidential election are also not encouraged to the petista. Against Bolsonaro, in a second -round hypothetical scenario due to his ineligibility, Lula has an advantage only in the two northeast states.
In São Paulo, the former president drops ahead with 45% of intentions, compared to 36% of the current agent. In Goiás, the difference is even higher, with 50% to 30%, as in Paraná, with 51% to 30% in favor of the former executive chief.
Technical draws are recorded in Minas Gerais (42% of Bolsonaro against 40% of Lula) and Rio (both with 41%), and a slight Bolsonaro leadership in (44% to 38%).
Against (Republicans), the most likely scenario in the face of Bolsonaro’s ineligibility, the situation is similar: Lula loses in São Paulo, Goiás and Paraná, wins in Bahia and Pernambuco and tied technically in Minas, Rio de Janeiro and Rio Grande do Sul.
The rejection of the petista complicates in some states his eventual candidacy. In São Paulo lands, Lula is rejected by 66% of voters. Similar number is found in Minas (62%), Paraná (68%) and Rio (58%).
Bahia and Pernambuco follow the two surveyed states where the president still has good numbers: 59% and 58% of voters, respectively, say they know and vote for him.
The QUEST survey is funded by Digital Investment Broker Genial Investimentos, controlled by the Genial Bank.
