When the Ukrainian President Volodymyr Greenable during the meeting with journalists in London said that the agreement to end the war is “still very, very far”, in Washington, passions were likely to again.
“This is the worst statement that Greeding could do. America will not tolerate it for a long time, ”White House chief Donald Trump, who has been accused by the Ukrainian President for a long time that he does not want to seek the way to end the war that Russia is leading against Ukraine.
Finally, there was also specific steps – Trump’s administration froze all the military assistance provided by the US to Ukraine on Monday. It is said to be defrost after Trump concludes that “Ukraine officials prove the will to peace”.
The temporary American stalk concerns both weapon systems and ammunition, which was approved during the biden administration, but has not yet arrived in Ukraine. Trump’s administration itself has not yet approved any military assistance.
Even the US deliveries that are currently in European transit zones do not subscribe to Ukraine. According to Bloomberg, it is ammunition, launcher missile systems or anti -tank weapons.
The journalist of the voice of America Ostap Jarryš wrote on the voice that supplies to come to Ukraine include rockets for air defense and Himars systems, as well as ammunition for artillery.
The stem could be manifested in two months
Western analysts’ estimates say that the current pace of reflecting Russian attacks would be able to keep Ukraine without American aid for several months, as the warehouses remain supplies that Kiev provided by Trump’s predecessor.
According to Advisor to the US Center for Strategic and International Studies of Mark Cancian Ukraine, he will experience the impact of the suspension in the next two to four months.
Meanwhile, the Ukrainian Front will also help maintain the ammo of European countries.
“That’s why they don’t fall off the cliff yet. But when stocks are halved, it will eventually be reflected in the front line, ”he said for. Further development without military aid could be fatal. According to the analyst, the Ukrainian front would probably begin to pour and Kiev would have to accept “unfavorable – even catastrophic – peaceful leveling”.
Former Deputy Chief of the General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, Ihor RomENKE in February pointed out that Europe cannot fully replace US aid. “We will last six months,” he said.
Weakened air defense
CNN points out that Europe can be replaced to some extent, but it cannot deliver Kiev the most advanced weapon systems.
Therefore, weakening could be recorded, for example, by Ukrainian air defense, which, among other things, uses US Patriot systems. They have been able to shoot down Russian hypersonic ballistic missiles in the past two years.
Ukrainian analyst Denys pop pointing that it is not known how many shots for Patriota still have Ukraine available, nor can it be estimated how Russians who have been regularly doing large missile attacks against Ukraine in the last three years. “That means how much we need these missiles. The more we need them, the faster we will feel their absence, ”said Popovych in the broadcast.
This is one of the reasons why analysts of analysts vary and say that Ukraine in this case would have air defense for several weeks or even half a year.
We recall that Patriot systems protect primarily large Ukrainian cities such as Kiev or Odessa.
It is produced by Ukraine and Europe. But also Russia
Ukraine can partly cover US weapons with the possibilities of its own defense industry. The country has been developing its own missiles for some time, producing drones, long -range drones and artillery ammunition.
He recently described the proportions in providing ammunition into works.
While the US has provided about three million artillery grenades from the beginning of the invasion to autumn 2024, Ukraine itself, according to its representatives, produces about 2.5 million grenades into works and mortars a year. Europe has been able to put together 1.4 million grenades, and in 2025 it plans to increase this number to two million.
However, Russia also produces massively. The Russians themselves produce more than Ukraine provided by Americans and Europeans together. NATO news services were produced by Russians at the beginning of 2024 around 250,000 artillery grenades per month, or three million grenades per year.
Americans have shared information so far
The hard blow to Ukraine would also be if Trump’s administration would stop the sharing of news information to the Ukrainians. These help Ukraine planning and performing special operations in Tulle, Russia.
Ukraine is available today to help observe the battlefield from space. For one, the Ukrainians even put together in a public collection. The second was financed by the Germans.
Several sources from military-political circles for the web have said that changes in the provision of intelligence information have not yet taken place. At the same time, one of the sources doubts whether the suspension of military aid by the US would also influence the news, as he said it is a “different line of cooperation”.
But the soldiers admit that if the Ukrainians lost “American eyes” or Starlink Elon Musk, the Ukrainian army would have a problem. That’s why Ukraine. One of them could become, for example, European Govsatcom communication systems.
Stopk at half past four in the morning
“Before Green’s visit, Trump said he would push both Russia and Ukraine to start negotiations. Unfortunately, it is easier to push Ukraine, as we also depend on American aid, ”Americanist Vladyslav Faraponov for NV.
According to Donald Trump, his decision on the stalk of military aid is not only pushed into Ukraine, but also to Europe
“President Trump made it clear that he is focused on peace. We need our partners to commit to this goal. We pause and re -evaluate our help to make sure it will contribute to the solution, ”Reuters quotes an unnamed American representative.
The agency also informs that the supply of US military cargo has actually stopped. According to its source, the movement of the cargo that directed to Ukraine stopped around half past four in the morning of Kiev time.
Americans argued, the Ukrainians lost Avdijivka
Ukraine already called. The ammunition hunger, which at the turn of 2023 and 2024 also caused skirmishes between Republicans and Democrats. According to some Ukrainian commanders, Ukrainians and Russians had a 1:10 fireplace at the beginning of 2024.
It took the Congress half a year to approve another aid package. The result of political turbulences was that in February 2024 the Ukrainians lost an important belt of the defense line near Avdijivka.
But the Russians also helped the fact that they had a predominance in the air and sprinkled Ukrainian soldiers with hundreds of sliding bombs.
The Russian armed forces after the conquest of Avdijivka then took the initiative on the Donetsk section of the front and began to move into the Ukrainian inland at a slow pace. They managed to conquer a strategic elevation in Vuhledar, the city of Kurachov and today they are trying to cut off the cities of Pokrovsk and Myrnohrad from their western side.