After the decision of the president of the United States, Donald Trump, to suspend military aid to Ukraine, political and military analysts are painting a gloomy panorama for the country in the war ordered against the country by the president of Russia, Vladimir Putin, in February 2022.
Almost everyone agrees that Ukraine may be able to defend himself in the front for weeks without American weapons, but over time he will suffer such serious losses that they could have catastrophic results, according to the media.
According to Maggie Haberman, correspondent in the White House of The New York TimesTrump is testing “how far he can go” by withdrawing military aid to Ukraine after the frictions between Washington and kyiv since he assumed the position. Haberman says that while the US president does not ask Putin concessions, he will ask the Ukrainian president, Volodimir Zelenski very much to reach a peace agreement.
“Instead of seeing Ukraine as a European ally, he is looking at the country through economic lenses,” said the correspondent, referring to the rare earth agreement that, contrary to the original plans, was not signed in the White House after a anger between Trump and Zelenski. With this agreement on the mineral resources of Ukraine, Washington intends that Ukraine returns all aid to the United States, but without offering security guarantees.
It may be several weeks, even months, so that the cessation of US military aid has its effect on the front, but the Ukrainian army could be maintained during that time thanks to weapons sent by European nations, said Mark Cancan, director of the Center for Strategic and International Studies.
Cancan added that Ukraine has deficiencies of capacity that European states can only fill temporarily. “The impact will be great, but I would call it paralyzing,” he said. In addition, he considers that with the gradual decrease of supplies, the lines of the Ukrainian front will also weaken, but sooner or later they will break, after which Ukraine would have to accept a “catastrophic peace agreement” for them.