The Government of Chaos is back.
One day President Donald Trump imposed a punitive tariff regime against Canada and Mexico. The next day, she froze customs duties about cars for a month after she suddenly realized that – as everyone predicted – could destroy an American industry par excellence.
Last week, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky went to the oval room to sign an agreement on rare land minerals that Trump considered a triumph for the US. But Zelensky was insulted by Vice President Jd Vance and expelled from the White House. European leaders spent days trying to solve the problem.
Elon Musk, however, is bringing his chainsaw to bureaucracy, dismissing workers indiscriminately and placing agencies on the wooden crusher – launching citizens and industries that depend on government payments in uncertainty, precisely when the economy slows down and is more vulnerable to such shocks.
At first, Trump’s energy on several fronts was a radius of energy as he crossed executive orders with his marker and dismissed the lecture that marked President Joe Biden’s last months.
Six weeks later, however, as Trump makes appeals to dismantle post -war national security agreements, the global free trade system and the federal machine – everything that helped make the US superpower – a new perception is emerging.
There seems to be no plan.
Trump’s random efforts to establish peace in Ukraine, to revive the heavy rust’s waist industry with nineteenth -century tariffs, and reduce the government are as improvised as the “web” – the name he gives to his current -conscious campaign speeches.
And the world is once again left at the mercy of the whims and obsessions of President America First.
“The Canadian Minister of Foreign Affairs, Mélanie Joly, described the United States trade policy as a“ psychodrama ”that her country cannot live every 30 days.
US President Donald Trump and Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelensky gather in the White House oval room in Washington DC on February 28, 2025. Saul Loeb/AFP/Getty Images
Trump’s leadership can give results, but it can also come out of Culatra
The friends of the United States are often left to think about what Trump is exactly trying to do.
The president, for example, said on Wednesday that Canada had not done enough to wage the flow of fentanil through the border – but only tiny amounts of the drug are involved. Sometimes the White House complains about the flow of non -document immigrants to south – but these numbers are also reduced. Trump also wants the transforming industry to abandon Canada and move south. No wonder some Otava employees have concluded that he is trying to weaken the country to facilitate his attachment.
Still, the president can point out some successes with his threat -based foreign policy. For example, its fury by the fact that a Hong Kong -based company owns two ports at both ends of Panama channel is precipitating a purchase by the Blackrock American investment giant. The president wrongly stated that these ports meant that China controlled the US -built vital navigable road, but the change of property could still improve the US strategic position.
And Trump may be devaluing the transatlantic alliance that has maintained world peace for 80 years – but triggered an unprecedented rearmament program among NATO allies that other presidents demanded for years.
But as often as it is as if Trump was more interested in the personal power of brute force than working with a long -term manual.
Michael Froman, former US commercial host and president of the Foreign Council Council, told Jim Sciutto at CNN International, that although the cost of imposing tariffs often overcomes the benefits, these may be a tool that brings other nations to the negotiating table. This is true in the case of Mexico, with which the US has much broader border problems than with Canada. But, he added Froman, “one must know what they want them to do so that this influence is useful.”
THE ESSENCE OF TRUMPISM
To some extent, chaos is the goal. And the theatricality of a president addicted to political stunts is the key to his political appeal.
For some MAGA supporters, Trump’s genius to infuriate democrats, media and foreign governments are an end in themselves. And for the ideologues of the populist nationalist right, provoking pandemonium in Washington and destroying government agencies is a way of deconstructing the administrative state.
Trump’s method was perfected in his office at the top of the skyscraper that has his name in Manhattan.
The future president has learned, throughout his career in the real estate business, to unbalance opponents with extravagant demands, verbal clashes, and sudden changes in position. In government, he does the same to disorient opponents and seeks to impose power in the midst of chaos.
But if unpredictability is a real estate superpower, it becomes a risk when managing a country, economy and a planet – where continuity and predictability is preferred.
“It’s constant and exhaustive,” said Julian Vikan Karaguesian, former employee of the Canadian Ministry of Finance, referring to Trump’s tariff offensive. “It’s almost surrealistic. Is it real? Will it be real this time? ” Karaguesian, who now teaches at McGill University in Montreal, added: “Perhaps the modus operated here is uncertainty. These are no fares, no anything else, but to intentionally create a feeling of chaos and uncertainty. ”
A drone view of the Chrysler Windsor Assembly of Stellantis in Windsor, Ontario, February 4, 2025. Carlos Osorio/Reuters
Trump Pestaneja about car tariffs
Automobile tariffs that the president froze for a month on Wednesday, a day after imposing general rates of 25% on Canada and Mexico, show how sometimes Trump has doubts about his own aggression.
Perhaps its favorite barometer, the stock exchange, has forced it to act. Its concession reversed two days of marked losses on Dow Jones Industrial Averag with a recovery of almost 500 points.
CNN reported on Wednesday that Trump gave in after conversations with executive directors of the three major car manufacturers. And his press secretary Karoline Leavitt said Trump was open to “hearing about additional exemptions.”
The idea that well -placed executive directors can use their powerful access to exit special exemptions and favors not available for ordinary Americans is the antithesis of an equitable economy. But Trump has shown little respect for rules -based systems that eliminate the type of clientelism and the potential for corruption that prosperates in autocratic societies.
Trump’s approach may also mean that he likes to threaten with tariffs than to impose them. But by constantly threatening with tariffs and then creating doubts about whether or when they will be maintained, the president is causing enormous uncertainty for companies, who need to establish certainties about costs and supply, and for consumers, which can damage an economy already declining themselves.
“There is so much uncertainty about what management is making the mere perspective of tariffs is creating a large anchor in the economy,” Bharat Ramamurti, former director of the Biden National Economic Council, said to journalists at a telephone conference on Monday. “The perspective of significant tariffs about our allies has resulted in the retention of investments and preventive price increases that will be supported by small businesses and, ultimately, by consumers.”
As Trump’s unpredictability can go out by the culatra
Trump’s tireless bullying about America’s friends – while seeming to be doing everything he can to advance his traditional opponent, Russia in Ukraine – can also exhaust US power in the long run.
“What we saw this week is that the dollar suffered a very sharp decline,” Ruchir Sharma, founder and investment director at Breakout Capital, told Richard Quest at CNN International. “It is revealing that the rest of the world is organizing … and I think investors are starting to notice that there are other countries in which it is worth investing, given all this political volatility that is emerging in the US,” he said.
The danger to the United States is, therefore, that another four years of Trump actions can reshape the globe – in a way that does not agree with their US domain view, but let the Americans look out. Mexico and Canada, for example, cannot change the geography that makes it easy to negotiate with the powerful US. But both can also see advantages in the expansion of trade and investment with China, the rising rival of the United States. And the European Union, which soon expects its own flood of Trump tariffs, can examine similar horizons.
The western allies of the United States have invested too much in generations with Washington ties to want to fail. But they also have their own national interests. Canada cannot gain a trade war against its most powerful neighbor. But his patience is running out with Trump’s aggressive and intimidating attitude.
Doug Ford, the prime minister of the Ontario, where Canada’s largest provincial economy is located, says that the only way to move forward is Trump to eradicate all customs rights rather than a flexibility in the sectoral rights, as in the case of cars.
“All this gives us is again uncertainty,” CNN’s Ford to Phil Mattingly said on Wednesday. “There is a person who is causing this problem today: it’s President Trump.”