Government fell, Marcelo acted: what follows

Calendar drawn by the head of state. Marcelo has already spoken to Montenegro and gathers with other parties today, Council of State tomorrow: Life continues. Technically, there is an alternative to the elections.

As expected: The government fellafter lead of the government’s confidence motion this Tuesday. The President of the Republic receives this Wednesday at the Palace of Belém, political parties with parliamentary seat, to discuss the political crisis and the scenario of early legislative elections-the third in three years.

The head of state already spoke to Luís Montenegro, who said after the meeting that “the solution to this impasse must undergo early legislative elections which should take place as soon as possible ”, but” there is no reason for alarm. “

There are “all the conditions” for the elections to be on May 11th and “we have all the reasons to tell Portugal that there will be no disturbance or from the point of view of the functioning of the government, the public administration and the economy during this period,” said the PSD leader.

Marcelo will receive in Belém PSD delegations, PS, arrives, IL, BE, PCP, Free and PAN until 19:00, with whom it should discuss the political crisis and the date of the next legislatures. The meetings – one per hour – start with the PSD and end the Pan.

O Council of State was summoned to Thursday, at 15h00.

Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa had already said that if the confidence motion was rejected causing the government to fall-which, on Tuesday afternoon-the “electoral calendar” would point to two hypotheses: or May 11 or 18. The official announcement should be made to follow the State Council and, in this scenario, we will have a new government in mid -June.

The head of state never explicitly referred to the anticipation of the legislatures, but after dissolving the Assembly of the Republic about a year ago, after the dismissal of the previous Prime Minister, António Costa, following the influencer process, he understood that this time he would once again choose the same solution.

When it was evident that the motion of trust would be rejected, as would happen on Tuesday, the president promised to act as soon as possiblecalling the parties to the following day and the Council of State for two days later, the two constitutionally mandatory steps before any dissolution of Parliament.

Marcelo considered it fundamental that “people’s economy, society and life continue”, in a period that will not be “longer than two months” and “rather even what may become the municipal elections and the presidential elections in normal”, although manifesting concern about the anticipation of elections in an international crisis scenario.

This will be, to confirm-se, to Third dissolution of parliament in the mandate of Marcelo Rebelo de Sousaafter the lead of the state budget to 2022 that would give the absolute majority to the PS from António Costa and, the second, after the resignation of this Prime Minister in 2023 following Operation Influencer.

But technically, Marcelo may not force elections. A personality, independent or part of the government, can be invited by the president to take the executive’s leadership until the end of the legislature-an option seen as risky, as parliament can reject it.

In a month: how did we get here?

In just one month, the news about the Spinumvivaa family business that belonged to the prime minister and that Luís Montenegro, before going to the government, went to his wife and more recently to his children, led to two censorship motions do e, both hops. But the parties continued to manifest, and the prime minister announced the presentation of one, rejected on Tuesday, which caused the fall of the government.

The PS presented one to produce results within a period of 90 dias. In yesterday’s plenary debate, the government admitted to withdraw the motion of trust if the PS reduced the time of the inquiry to 15 days, but the PS rejected.

Following an interruption of work for half-hour, the PSD made it known that the PS proposed that the inquiry last until the end of May, that is, about two months, a proposal that was also rejected by the PS. The PS request for an inquiry commission proposes a period of up to 90 days.