The former chief of the Armada Staff, Admiral Henrique Gouveia and Melo.
Scenario changes depending on the socialist candidate. Ventura is the favorite among arrival voters, but a third of these would vote for the Admiral.
Once again, Henrique Gouveia and Melo appears as the Favorite Claro In the race to the Presidency of the Republic, well beyond the 5%margin of error.
The Admiral leads in any scenario in the new Pythagorean poll to, TSF and TVI/CNN, but the results change depending on the candidate chosen by the Socialist Party (PS).
In a scenario in which António José Seguro is the candidate of the PS Gouveia and Melo leads with 35.9% voting intentions, 10 more percentage points than the second place occupied by Luís Marques Mendes (25.5%)while the former secretary-general of the PS would be in third place with 14.1%-would be eliminated in the first lap-followed by André Ventura, with 12.9%.
But if the PS chooses to António Vitorinothe advantage of Gouveia and Melo descends slightly (to 32.2%) and Marques Mendes (with 24.8%) already sees second place threatened by the former minister and current president of the National Council for Migration and Asylum, which comes with 20.7%of voting intentions.
Support to Gouveia and Melo is more remarkable between the middle class and the voters who value a “Strong Leadership” – which are practically half, this being the most valued criterion as characteristic of the successor of Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa. According to the poll, This is the trait that 49% of respondents most values. followed by “integrity and ethics” (31%) and “political experience” (29%).
It is among the arrival voters that the figure of Gouveia and Melo conquers a good slice of the vote: although Ventura is his favorite candidate, as expected, a third of the arrival of the arrival would vote for the Admiral.
Between insurance and vitorino, the Most Portuguese (56%) believes that the PS should support António José Segurowhile 44% would bet on Vitorino. But Among PS voters, the poll shows a slight preference for Vitorino (51%)with only two points about insurance.
In the same poll, Sampaio da Nóvoa, who competed in 2016, brings together 4.9% of the answers, Mariana Leitão gets 2.5% and Jerónimo de Sousa comes with 1.8%.
