The president’s bad moment has animated to the right, whether moderate or radical populist. In some circles, it is already elucidated about the supposed evidence that the left would not even have more discourse and project for contemporary Brazilian society. This, finally, would have in its popular segments surrendered to the cult of prosperity and entrepreneurship, ”he said self -pride? – In a sign of approval of liberal conceptions.
The distress of antipetists is understood, since in the first quarter of this century, he won five of the six presidential disputes. During this period, the said civilized right surfed in the overthrow of and in the protogolpist government of, the most unpopular in history; Then, with the third ways fiasco, he associated himself with the Bolsonarist adventure, which promised the neoliberal pinochetist a kind of new American revolution in the tropics; Finally, the abstention or briefly swallowing the “broad front” Lulist.
Lula and the PT have made series errors in this third term, but also hits. I have my reservations about the analysis that the president’s fall in popularity.
Yes, there is a fatigue with the longevity of the petista leader, with his verbres and self -centered personality. Perhaps the country – that is just an impression – preferred something different.
It turns out that there is a plausible chance that malaise is, at least in part, dissipated, and the perspective of a new mandate from the left to expand.
It would be necessary to consider at least two factors. The first is what seems to be the primordial cause of bad mood. There is no one to resist the pricing on the middle class table, poor and remedied.
There is, however, an expectation of reducing the account in the coming months, three, four, six, who knows. At the same time, they cannot be disregarded, even if faded by the scares in the gondolas, the income and the significant growth of GDP in 2023 and 2024, contrary to the crystal balls of “experts”.
The other factor to take into account is the absence of clear and strong leaders on the right. It can be considered a candidate out of the deck – and the amnesty costume doesn’t help much. Its is the governor of São Paulo ,. It is the current “Darling” of the right and the market, whose tireless flags are fiscal adjustment with cuts of social spending and privatizations headed by Petrobras – unattractive by themselves for the great electorate. Tarcisio, however, with the support of his Demiurge, would have attractions to add to wider herds.
But it is not known if you are willing to counteract Bolsonaro and if you would risk leaving office in April 2026, abandoning a guaranteed state reelection and facing Brazil’s great political-electoral animal, even if injured, with the government machine in hand. The answer seems to be no.
I wrote here in May last year that the. In fact, but it can still go down and return to the Plateau ramp. The game is far from defined.
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