An emphatic “yes, but”, as analysts worldwide comment, is the Russian president’s response to where and H.
There are “definitely reasons to be restrained optimistic” about her, commented the Kremlin spokesman on Friday (14/3).
His statements were made after the, and reiterated the position of the Russian president, who on Thursday had stated that he theoretically accepted the ceasefire but only in terms of victory over Ukraine.
“Yes” …
The “yes” of the Russian president is because he does not want to “empty” him who not only pressed the Ukrainian president too much but also “reinstated” the isolated from the West, Putin at the center of the world community.
The Guardian explains that Putin has made sure not to alienate a US president who has already offered a series of concessions to the formal peace talks even before even began, including the acceptance that Ukraine is not projected to join NATO – one of the most intense Russian “reds”.
Correspondingly, the French Monde analyzes that what Putin’s words hint is his strategy at this stage of war: “He avoids saying” no “directly not to cause Trump, who threatened Russia with a torrent of new sanctions if he does not” comply “. It leaves the window of dialogue with the US president, as it restores Russia to a “great power” position and is now treated as an equal, restoring its reputation, as it is still on arrest by the International Criminal Court for war crimes. “
… And “but”
At the same time, Western analysts agree primarily that the fact that the Russian president is a tactic to save time. After all, he has successfully used a similar tactic in the past: he delays the cessation of hostilities, while continuing to seek his strategic goals and his troops are taking advantage of the situation to increase their territorial profits.
He did so in Georgia in 2008, imposing his timetable on then French President Nicolas Sarkozy, who was negotiating a ceasefire on the part of the European Union. He did it in Minsk in 2015, avoiding a clear position against the then German Chancellor Angela Merkel, French President Francois Hollande and Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko, while his forces proceeded to the Donbas area.
In this case, Putin seeks to maintain talks with Trump, while his army pounded the Ukrainian territories and recaptures his Russian area, depriving Ukraine the only territorial advantage he possessed as a negotiating paper. Indicatively, on Thursday night and a few hours after Putin’s speech, his army launched 27 drones to Ukraine.
Putin’s cramped?
Of course, some experts believe that the Russian leader is “cramped” and that the evasion of his response was an attempt to balance two competitive realities.
The first is that, based on the image on the front, the Kremlin has no reason to accept a truce unless it offers it a favorable result.
The second reality is that he wants to reach an agreement with the White House, taking advantage of the fact that there is a president of Moscow in power, Jonathan Imial, director of Think Tank Royal United Services Institute (Rusi) in London, told the US NBC.
“It is not in Putin’s interest to agree on a truce right now. But he does not have the luxury of annoying the US president, exposing and humiliating him with a categorical rejection, “he said.
