The estimated GDP and exchange rate were reduced by financial market agents to 1.99% and R $ 5.98, respectively
Financial market analysts decreased the estimated inflation to 5.66%. The previous week the value was 5.68%. The market measures inflation by the IPCA (National Consumer Price Index).
Market agents evaluated a decrease in GDP projection (Gross Domestic Product). The index was estimated at 1.99%, compared to 2.01% of the previous week. The projections are from the Focus Bulletin, released this Monday (17.mar.2025) by the BC (Central Bank). This is the report (PDF – 754 kB).
Financial analysts decreased the dollar exchange estimate of $ 5.99 last week to $ 5.98 on Monday (17.mar). The projection for the basic interest rate, Selic, continues at 15% for the 10th consecutive week. Currently the rate is set at 13.25% per year.
The Copom (Monetary Policy Committee) will meet on Wednesday (19.mar) to define the new value of the index. Like the Poder360the consensus is that the committee raises Selic in 1 percentage point, reaching 14.25%.
For 2026 inflation, analysts increased projection to 4.48%, compared to 4.40%. They also decreased the GDP estimated to 1.60%, the previous week was 1.70%. Exchange and Selic projections for 2026 were maintained R $ 6.00 and 12.5%, respectively.
What is Focus
O It is released every Monday and has summarized since 2000 the statistical projections of economists and market operators consulted by the Central Bank. It is possible to know the institutions that hits the most .
