Basic interest rate should go to 14.25% per year at the Copom (Monetary Policy Committee) meeting of Wednesday (19.mar.2025)
The high percentage point at Selic on Wednesday (19.mar.2025) is a consensus among financial market agents. It is expected that the directors of follow the signage given in January. Thus, the basic interest rate would reach 14.25% per year.
The meeting will be the 2nd Meeting of the (Monetary Policy Committee) of 2025. Interest squeezing is aimed at controlling inflation.
O Poder360 Hamed the projections of 11 financial market agents. All agreed that the indicator would go to 14.25%. This is the same level as the indicator at the end of the government of (PT).
Read the projections:
The Central Bank had already signaled that there would be a new high percentage point at the end of the January meeting. It is the contractionist movement that has been following since the 2nd semester of 2024.
“Given the continuity of the adverse scenario for the convergence of inflation, the Committee anticipates, in confirming the expected scenario, an adjustment of the same magnitude in the next meeting.”said the meeting of the meeting. Here’s (PDF – 54 kb).
Selic is the basic interest rate of the Brazilian economy. Directly influences the rates charged for loans, financing and investments. In the financial market, impacts the income of investments.
The decision to raise the rate comes for 1 reason: the control of inflation. The most expensive credit slows consumption and production. As a result, prices tend not to increase so quickly.
The function of the Central Bank is to place inflation at the center of the goal (3%). There is a margin of tolerance that authorizes reaching 4.5%.
The result of the IPCA (National Consumer Price Index Ample) accumulated in the 12 months ended in February 2025. The monetary authority works with the hypothesis that it will remain out of the ceiling throughout the 1st semester.
