Montenegro out, but Pedro Nuno also out: PSD and PS do not understand themselves about the next government

Within the parties, there are those who defend an outcome, some defend another. May legislative elections create internal divisions.

Elections Legislative Advance, May 2025. Three scenarios stronger.

The first: a Ad wins without absolute majority. The arrival is not a hypothesis for post-election coalition, IL is not enough to reach this desired majority. The PS gives in and enables the government program. That is, everything at the table.

But within this first scenario, it recalls, there are strong PS names that leave the idea that socialists should not make a government led again by Luís Montenegro after so many doubts around Spinumviva. The parliamentary leader Alexandra Leitão and the MEP Marta feared, for example, understand that an AD government only passes if the Prime Minister is another.

Second scenario: O PS winsLuís Montenegro fires, but there is absolute major majority in the Assembly of the Republic-and the PSD can even convince someone who leads this majority. That is, a kind of right handout that would govern the country.

Although ministers Paulo Rangel and Manuel Castro Almeida, or the parliamentary leader have already said that the PSD should not form government if it is in second place. But of course here appears the name. The “ghost” is going around, although the former prime minister has already assured that he will not return to office now. And although, this would include let the arrival enter government, as Miguel Relvas suggested (very attached to Passos Coelho). But within the PSD structures, A: Support is one politician – Luís Montenegro.

Third and last scenario: PS Victory and the PSD enables the government led by Pedro Nuno Santoseven without having absolute majority.

But here there is also internal division because, within the PSD, there are those who reject any scenario that includes. Therefore, he would appeal to the second scenario-even if it is without Luís Montenegro as Prime Minister and even if he includes census at arrival.