After reaching a record of 2.41% of GDP by 2022, federal gross revenues associated with the mineral extractive sector retreated to 1.65% of GDP by 2023 and 1.60% of GDP in 2024. But the projection is that they start a recovery from this year, reaching the ratio of 2.1% of GDP by 2030. LCA Macroeconomics and FGV/IBI’s Associated Researcher.
According to a text published on the Ibre Blog, the projection reflects the expectation that oil and natural gas extraction should accumulate an expansion of about 55% between 2025-2030-with just over half of this occurring between 2025 and 2027).
This amount includes, among others, the revenues with royalties and special appearances associated with the exploration of oil and natural gas, recipes with oil and leaflet generated by the exploration of oil and natural gas in the pre-salt region under the sharing regime, dividends paid to Petrobras, and tax revenues generated by the extractive sector-such as IRPJ/CSLL and PIS/COFINS, among other taxes.
The amount does not take into account tax revenues generated by the sectors that process these products – such as oil refining, cement production and steelmaking – nor those associated with marketing (fuel taxes, for example).
