Negotiations in Saudi Arabia between, and have made white tobacco. The agreement achieved by US negotiators could be considered a victory, who still insists that he is the only leader to achieve peace.
“” Analyzes the data resulting from this agreement. At first glance, the deal is winning Russia. The Kremlin seems to have offered a concession. However, observers are wondering if Russia has given something to secure the first supply of sanctions from the beginning of the war.
Russia and Ukraine on attacks on ships of the other in the Black Sea. Moscow wanted this agreement because the attacks of the Ukrainians with a drone and by special business units on Russian ships had put the Russians in a defense position, largely trapping the Russian fleet near the coast.
Kremlin revealed the fine letters of the deal
The White House report on the agreement did not even include the fine print. In its reading, the Kremlin said it would apply the truce to the Black Sea only when the US in turn offers sanctions on Russian agricultural products and fertilizers, as well as the deletion of a large state bank, Rosselkhozbank, which serves the Russian agricultural industry.
This would be the first major decline in sanctions against Russia since the start of the war and shows that Moscow will seek a double price to stop its war against Ukraine. What’s that? Political and military concessions from Ukraine as well as an escape from international isolation that began after its full -scale invasion in 2022.
And, so far, it seems that the Trump government is willing to make this agreement.
Agreement leaves Europe more isolated in restriction of Russia
“The ‘Russian Art of Agreement’ is to sell Russian requests as Russian concessions to Americans and then seek to relieve sanctions from above.”wrote Dr Janis Kluge, a researcher focusing on the Russian economy at the German Institute of International Affairs and Security, a thinktank. “The request here is no longer allowed Ukraine to attack Russian warships and Russia inspect Ukrainian ships”.
Any relief of sanctions in Russia will be limited by Europe’s readiness to take similar measures – but Tuesday’s agreement continues to reflect a serious reorientation of diplomacy around Ukraine and leaves Europe more isolated in the restriction of Russia.
Ukraine had opposed any retreat of sanctions against the Kremlin. O for ‘Weakening our position and relaxation of sanctions’ Against Russia, a position not compatible with a ‘Unconditional ceasefire’ Against energy infrastructure and at sea.
It also seems that either the White House hid the plans to relax the sanctions – or the US negotiators themselves were taken aback by the Russian demand to relax the restrictions on trade and funding in order to achieve the main surrender that the White House wants:
Questions about the continuation of the negotiations
‘This was not on the agenda before the meeting’said Zelenski on Tuesday. “The Russians, as far as we know, raised the issue of American aid for the transportation of their agricultural products … We did not agree on it so that it was in our joint statement.”.
Zelenski tried to sound optimistic during his statements and stressed that at least now Kiev can appeal to the White House if Russia chooses to violate the truce against Ukraine next month. Ukraine could also demand new sanctions against Russia if that happens, he said.
But there are significant doubts that Trump would be ready to impose further sanctions on Russia. And Steve Whitkov, his envoy, has passed ‘Really a lot of time in dialogue with Putin’said Zelenski, explaining why the White House message about the war sounds as much as the Kremlin’s narrative.
In the negotiations, an agreement that does not work on both sides will collapse sooner or later. Tuesday’s agreement – and the distinctive statements that have arisen – will raise further questions about whether the US can mediate a conflict in which the Kremlin seems to like.
