In an interview in ARDthe inspector general of the Bundeswehr, Carsten Breuer, was asked about whether the high fire in Ukraine would allow the West to relax, to which he responded clearly: “No, we can’t breathe deeply“Although, as Breuer stood out, the conflict in Ukraine could decrease, Russia continues to prepare for what he described as” a great war “that could extend beyond the Ukrainian borders.
The new evaluations of intelligence services, based on information collected for years, They point out that Russia continues with its imperialist agenda, beyond the war in Ukraine. Despite international sanctions, Russia has managed to maintain and expand its military capacity, and is even preparing for a large -scale conventional war for the end of the decade, which raises serious concerns about stability in Europe.
Although analysts agree that There are no signals of an imminent confrontation with NATO, Russia’s military capacities remain strong enough to carry out limited military actions against a country member country, especially if the situation in Ukraine changes.
Baltic countries, the weak point of NATO
The main fear focuses on Baltic countries, historically under Soviet influence and now NATO members. Although most Russian forces are focused on Ukraine, Russian air and naval capacities remain a significant threat in the Baltic. BND analysts indicate that, although currently The possibility of a direct invasion of the Baltic countries is low, things could change quickly If the Russian forces are reorganized once the war in Ukraine decreases.
In case of a high fire in Ukraine, Russia is expected to reallocate its forces to other regions, such as Baltic countries, which increases the risk of a military expansion towards NATO.
Preparation in Baltic countries
Despite the threat, Baltic countries have made great advances in their preparation against possible Russian aggression. Russia’s influence in the region has decreased significantly in recent years, With a growing integration of Russian -speaking communities in the three countries and a strengthening of popular resistance against Moscow’s attempts to destabilize the region.
Despite these advances, analysts agree that Russia remains a constant threat to the security of Europe, and NATO cannot afford to relax. Russian forces continue to develop their military potential and, although there seems to be no immediate confrontation, the conflict with Moscow could extend beyond Ukraine in the near future.
