«The agreement that has been less concerned with is less rescued by human lives and the safety of the sea and more to remove sanctions against it. As expected, American negotiators bowed to every Russian requirement, “the” Vima “tells” Vima ” RoslekiUS-CANADO-UNKRAFIA Expert in international security and founder of the Counseling Company, with the key to Black Trident Defense and Security Consulting Group.
What will change in the Black Sea after the Truce agreed?
“We must never forget that Russia has caused destruction in the Black Sea region, at least since 2008 with its invasion of Georgia. The advantage of “trade for trade in” is at least misleading. Moscow successfully builds its neo -imperialist multipolar world. Russia has already “invaded” EU states and: Hybrid War regularly include cyber -democracy and – perhaps the most important – the penetration of Russian assets and agents into social and political structures. If we are talking about an invasion in a strictly military sense, the most vulnerable states are those in the Black Sea and the countries liberated from Soviet rule, namely the Baltic, Central and Eastern Europe. “
Is the 30 -day ceasefire against energy infrastructure equally ‘misleading’?
“Many desperately want to believe that. However, negotiating with a war criminal and dictator can in fact be two steps towards legalizing the “Russkiy Mir” (Russian peace). Russia will continue its offensive war in Ukraine, claiming it is hitting military installations. Just last week, he launched more than 500 drones, kamikaze. On the contrary, Ukraine’s legal right to defend herself will be restricted and will no longer be able to launch deep blows against the attacker. If Ukraine is doing such blows, the US will probably again stop the exchange of information and sending weapons. That is why the Kremlin considers the West weak. “
Who puts the terms in the negotiations, Washington or Moscow?
“At present, the Kremlin. He started the war and has no real motivation to end it because of his long -term geopolitical vision. The EU and Ukraine as a dominant state are overwhelmed, while the US and Russia share the profits of war. The desire to end the war has not yet matured. Recently, Olekandra Matvitsuk, a Nobel Peace Owner, noted that justice should not serve the absolute “winner”. “
Russia requires the interruption of weapons shipping to Ukraine.
“The interruption of the weapons mission will be devastating. EU countries have been very supportive. The problem is that they seem to be governed by an irrational fear of Russia. The Ukrainians do not want to submit to the Kremlin and there is no doubt that – perhaps with the exception of Hungary – European states consent to it. Ukraine’s defeat would mean that the rule of law would be sent to Gulag. The question must be whether America-Russia negotiations serve Ukraine’s interests, NATO states and people’s security worldwide. “
What should be security guarantees for Ukraine?
“This is a complex question, as many will change before the war is over. Security guarantees have lost their meaning very much, especially in Ukraine. The first steps should have been the closure of the Ukrainian airspace and the return of the thousands of abducted hostages and children. “
