The president () would beat the governor of, (Republicans), in a possible second round in the 2026 presidential elections, according to a survey.
It reaches 48% of voting intentions, against 39% of the ally of (). Another 13% said they would vote in blank, null or none of the two. A total of 1% could not answer.
3,054 people 16 years or older in 172 municipalities from Tuesday (1st) until Thursday (3). The error margin is two percentage points, more or less.
Lula also leads against other names in pockets. He reaches 50% of voting intentions against the former first lady (PL), which total 38%.
Against the licensed deputy (PL-SP), Lula has 51%, compared to 34% of his opponent, who announced a self-exile in the United States two weeks ago.
The latest round shows the current president has achieved, but maintains a greater disapproval than approval. He still appears as a favorite in all the first -round scenarios in which his name was tested.
If I decide not to compete in reelection and support the Finance Minister (PT), the second -round scenarios are still more favorable to the left field, but with a tighter margin. Haddad has 43% against 37% of Tarcisio.
The minister, however, would face more difficulties to reach the second round: without Lula in the dispute, he ties technically with Tarcisio and appears behind the former governor of Ceará (PDT).
Even, Bolsonaro follows at the center of the political dispute. He was convicted of abuse of power by summoning foreign diplomats to publicize false information about the electronic ballot boxes and use the state structure to promote his image during September 7, 2022.
In addition, the former president is a defendant in the (Supreme Court), accused of leading the attempted coup in 2022. He can be sentenced to up to 40 years in prison. Nevertheless, it tries to make a amnesty proposal possible in Congress for those involved in the scammer acts, also looking for the way to try to return to the polls.
In a possible second round between Lula and Bolsonaro, in a reissue of the 2022 dispute, the current president has 49% of voting intentions, against 40% of the predecessor.
Already, in a scenario where they were Haddad and Bolsonaro in the second round – situation that occurred in the 2018 election – the petista appears ahead, but with a tighter margin, marking 45% against 41%. The difference is at the maximum margin of error, when a draw is considered unlikely.
