Considering everything that has been revealed so far of the coup plot to maintain () in power, the former president should go to jail. This is the opinion of 52% of Brazilians, according to the. Another 42% say he should not be arrested, and 7% could not answer.
At the same time, an identical rate of 52% of respondents believes it will not end up arrested, compared to 41% that provide such an outcome. Also 7% did not evaluate.
Datafolha interviewed 3,054 people over 16 years old in 172 cities from April 1st to 3rd. The maximum margin of error is two points, for more or less, for the total sample.
Bolsonaro last week by the first class of the Supreme Court, which is expected to judge it throughout this year. According to the investigation by and the complaint of the Attorney General’s Office, he headed an attempt to abolish the Democratic Rule of Law, among other crimes.
although it changed its initial version that it had nothing to do with the facts for a reading that it only analyzed constitutional scenarios to question the electoral process without taking them ahead.
Now, of demonstrations that say it is in favor of the supreme amnesty for scammer acts of January 8, 2023, that the complaint of says it was an event linked to the failure of the plot of the end of 2022 – the scam, in the investigators’ version, withered for lack of support from the military summit.
The vision of the need to arrest Bolsonaro is divided, in the various socioeconomic strata of the research, similarly to the support and rejection of the former president in the electorate.
Thus, in its base in the North/Midwest, there is a technical draw: 47% think it should be arrested, compared to 45% that say the opposite. Already in the south, the draw already comes as a signal, with 49% saying that Bolsonaro has to be free and 46% who want him arrested.
As with the time to vote, religion is linked to the profile of the answer. If among Catholic majority 55% are in favor of arrest and 39%, against, the evaluation is reversed among the, with 54% contrary to 38% favorable.
With Bolsonaro ineligible until 2030, something already defined by the Electoral Justice, the name of the governor (Republicans-SP) is one of the strongest to replace him in the presidential dispute.
In this survey, Datafolha tested scenarios with him at the polls, and the crossing with the question about the arrest of his godfather gives a tip on the support that Tarcisio has been giving to the former president-he was up to him in the acts in favor of amnesty, the latest on Sunday (6).
For 79% of those who claim to vote for Tarcisio to president, Bolsonaro should not go to jail. Among them, the faith in which this will not happen is higher than the average, 62%. The governor has sought to balance himself as a moderate, but does not want to be seen as a traitor of the former chief, whom he served as minister.
In general, in relation to what should happen, there is homogeneity of opinion. One exception is the northeast of petism, where 59% said he should go to jail. Support to “not should” is also smaller among women (36%) and who has completed only elementary school (35%).
The assessment of what will happen shows the most educated, with higher education, believing more in prison: 50% said that, as well as 47% of those who earn more than 10 minimum wages.
On the opposite way, 16 to 24 -year -olds are more skeptical about the possibility of seeing Bolsonaro in jail: 57% say they will be free. Similar index, 56%, is registered between those who have average education and among those who earn 2 to 5 minimums.
