Brazilians allocated between R $ 20 billion and R $ 30 billion per month online bets in the first three months of 2025, according to the estimate presented on Tuesday (9) by the Central Bank’s executive secretary, Rogério Lucca, during a Senate testimony.
The data represents an upward review of the previous projection of the monetary authority itself, which estimated a monthly average of R $ 20 billion in 2024. The increase in estimated volume was after the regulation of fixed quota bets on January 1 this year, which allowed greater access to information about the sector.
“During this year, from January to March, the volume of movements that we are following around R $ 20 billion to R $ 30 billion per month,” said Lucca.
According to BC President Gabriel Galipolo, the previous data underestimated the amount paid as a prize for the bets. The initial estimate was that 85% of the values betting returned to players, but the latest government data point out that this rate is close to 93%.
“We are gathering data to understand how this behavior migrates and what is the impact on consumption and economic stability,” said Galipolo. “Part of families’ income is neither for consumption nor for savings. We are seeing one for betting sites, with potential impact on economic activity and credit risk,” he added.
Senator Soraya Thronicke (Somos-MS), rapporteur of the CPI, and Senator Dr. Hiran (PP-RR), president of the collegiate, investigate the influence of bets on home budget and eventual ties between the sector and organized crime.
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Asked about the possibility of creating specific rules to control the resource flow of bookmakers, Galipolo pointed out that the BC has no legal competence to regulate the sector, but monitors the effects of bets on financial stability and monetary policy.
“Some financial institutions already report that betting history has influenced customer credit risk, which may impact the interest charged and the financial health of families,” said the president of the BC.
The regulation of the sports betting sector was sanctioned at the end of 2024 and this year. The expectation of the government is that regulation will bring more transparency, increase tax collection and reduce the social and economic risks associated with the advancement of the sector in the country.
