A Datafolha survey released on Thursday (10) reveals that 76% of Brazilians support the increase of those who receive more than $ 50,000 per month. On the other hand, only 20% position themselves against the proposal, which is being debated in the context of tax reform underway in the National Congress.
According to Datafolha, the account with the highest popular adhesion compared to the proposal to exempt taxpayers with monthly income of up to R $ 5,000, defended by the Lula Government (PT) as a strategy to reduce the tax burden on the middle class.
Brazilians are divided as to the possibility of the richest: 47% believe the proposal will be approved, while 49% consider it to be rejected. Another 1% declared not knowing.
The government’s proposal to exempt from income tax workers who receive up to $ 5,000 monthly has the support of 70% of the population, while 26% stand against, 1% are indifferent and 3% could not answer. As for the approval of the measure in Congress, 50% believe it will be approved, while 45% evaluate that it will be rejected.
The expectation of the government is that the new exemption range will be approved in 2025, with implementation expected in 2026. The measure is part of Planalto’s strategy to improve President Lula’s approval rates and reinforce the commitment to tax relief to the middle class.
The survey listened to 3,054 people in 172 municipalities, between April 1st and 3rd. The error margin is two percentage points, more or less.
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Repercussion
Datafolha survey data offer a relevant political thermometer to the Lula government and the National Congress amid discussions on income tax reform. The significant popular approval – 76% of Brazilians – to the proposal to increase taxation for those who receive more than R $ 50 thousand per month indicates that there is social support for a agenda focused on fiscal court.
From a political point of view, the data represent significant pressure on Congress. Despite broad popular support, 49% of respondents believe parliamentarians will reject the proposal, while 47% believe in their approval – setting up a technical draw within the margin of error.
In strategic terms, the numbers strengthen the Plateau’s narrative that its tax agenda is aligned with the wishes of the population, while exposing the congress to charges by society.
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For President Lula, this scenario can represent a strategic political opportunity: by insisting on proposals with broad popular support and challenging parliamentarians to vote against them, the government positions itself as an advocate of the interests of the majority – while forcing its opponents to face the political cost of opposing measures that have back the population.
On the other hand, the division of the political viability of these guidelines points out that the government will need a strategic and careful articulation to advance Congress, especially in a scenario of tax tension and anticipation of electoral disputes to 2026.
