Datafolha: Tarcisio maintains approval; Folding Reproval – 10/04/2025 – Power

by Andrea
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(Republicans) maintained his government’s approval among São Paulo voters at the same level as the term of office, but saw his disapproval rate double in two years, she shows research.

They consider the management of the governor of São Paulo great or good 41% of respondents. Another 33% assess it as regular, 22%, as bad or terrible, and 4% say they do not know.

The survey listened to 1,500 people in 81 municipalities of the state from April 1 to 3, with a margin of error of three percentage points for more or less.

The approval rate in April 2023 was 44%, which shows a scenario of stability within the margin of error. Already the disapproval at the time was half of the current: 11%. Another 39% saw management as regular, and 6% claimed not to know.

The new negative assessment level occurs amid that of its political godfather, (), by amnesty by the scammer acts of January 8, 2023.

Given the ineligibility until 2030 of the former president, who is still a defendant on charges of leading the 2022 coup plot, the governor has been treated as the main option of the right for the presidential dispute next year. Officially, he denies considering the possibility and says that his focus is on reelection in.

Despite the increase in disapproval, the general evaluation of the governor’s management in the state is better than that of the president () in the country. Even after the petista, the portion of those who consider their government bad or bad (38%) exceeds those who evaluate it as great or good (29%).

On the other hand, Tarcisio’s situation is worse than other occupants of the Bandeirantes Palace in similar periods of management.

Geraldo Alckmin’s management, now vice president of the Republic and affiliated with the PSB, had 52% approval and 15% disapproval at two years and five months of his second term (at the time, by the PSDB), in 2013. The toucan José Serra, with two years and two months of government in 2009, was 53% and 11%, respectively.

Regional difference

In 2022, Tarcisio won (PT) in the second round in the state, but. The current survey indicates that regional differences persist in the governor’s evaluation.

In cities of the metropolitan region of São Paulo, 28% consider the government bad or terrible, against 16% in the municipalities of the interior. Those who evaluate it as great or good add up to 33% in Greater São Paulo and 48% in other cities. In this clipping, the search margin of the research is four percentage points for more or less.

Throughout the first two years of government, Tarcisio reactivated works of the toucan management marked by the delay, such as the 17-Line of the subway-the monorail of journalist Roberto Marinho Avenue, in the South Zone-and the northern stretch of the Rodoanel. In addition, he privatized Sabesp (São Paulo State Basic Sanitation Company).

On the other hand, his government went through a series of, the most acute of them at the end of last year, when videos with flagrant police brutality came to light, to the point of Tarcisio admitting in the uniforms of the Military Police.

Still, even among voters who consider themselves petistas, there is a technical draw between those who approve and those who disapprove of São Paulo management.

In this clipping, 36% of respondents evaluated the government as great or good, 34% as regular and 27% as bad or terrible. Another 3% could not answer. The margin of error in this group is five points.

Evaluation of Tarcisio’s work

When asked about Tarcisio’s work as governor, 61% say they approve, while 33% disapprove, and 6% could not give their opinion.

Approval is higher among men (66%) than among women (56%), segments with margin of four points.

It also grows among the elders, reaching 74% among people over 60, a group where the margin of error is six points.

Tarcisio participated in the two demonstrations called by Bolsonaro and allies such as Pastor Silas Malafaia to defend the amnesty to the January 8 prisoners in Rio de Janeiro and São Paulo.

In the clipping of religion, the governor goes better among evangelicals, a public that has more affinity with the Bolsonarist guidelines. For those who declare themselves in this way, 71% approve their work as governor, and 23% disapprove, with a five -point margin of error.

The relationship between approval and disapproval is more balanced among voters with greater education. In the group with higher education, 53% approve the governor’s work and 44% disapprove, indicating a technical draw if considered the specific margin of error of five points.

Among elementary school voters, the approval rate is 66%, and the disapproval, 29%, within a margin of error four points.

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